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PGG Wrightson Limited (PGWFF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $190M

PW PGG Wrightson Limited logo PGG Wrightson Limited PGWFF · US
Price$1.35
Fair Value$1.39
Upside+3.0%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
8.17% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range $1.04 – $1.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $1.36 to $1.39 (+2.2%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $1.04 (bear) to $1.74 (bull), base $1.39. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.39 $0.7811 Fair Value $1.39 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7811 – $2.39 · fair‑value band $1.04 – $1.74 · the $1.35 price screens below the $1.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

PGG Wrightson Limited (PGWFF) currently trades at $1.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.39, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PGG Wrightson Limited generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at $173M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.04 (bear case) to $1.74 (bull case); at $1.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 3%, PGWFF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $1.63 $1.61 $1.42 76
Gordon GGM $0.1800 $0.2800 $0.3800 70
P/E Multiple $2.23 $2.97 $3.71 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.53 $3.71 $5.10 31
5Y P/E Exit $0.2000 $1.08 $1.96 38
10Y P/E Exit $0.4300 $1.12 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.9600 $2.44 $3.17 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1800 $0.2800 $0.3800 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1800 $0.2400 $0.3000 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.23 $2.97 $3.71 63
P/B Multiple $1.80 $2.40 $3.00 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.15 $1.54 $2.30 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.63 $1.61 $1.42 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($2.44) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.6%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 6.5%
Free cash flow $5.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 28.0
More key figures
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.0900
Dividend yield 8.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.0%
Net debt $173M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PGG Wrightson Limited provides goods and services for agricultural and horticultural sectors in New Zealand. It operates through two segments: Agency, and Retail & Water.

Full company description

PGG Wrightson Limited provides goods and services for agricultural and horticultural sectors in New Zealand. It operates through two segments: Agency, and Retail & Water. The company operates rural supplies stores that offer a range of products, such as seed, ag chem, fertilizer, bulk feed, pet supplies, machinery, animal health, fencing, and water and irrigation equipment. It is also involved in the provision of crop monitoring and protection, and testing and technical services, as well as irrigation products and services plant nutrition and organic options for grape, vegetable growers, and pip and stone fruit exporters. In addition, the company offers agency services for the sale and purchase of livestock through auction, private sale, on farm sales and specialist stud stock sales; and crossbred, mid-micron, and fine wools. Further, the company provides irrigation and pumping systems to farmers and horticulturists; technical services to agronomy, horticulture, and veterinary science; and agricultural services. Additionally, it is involved in the listing and sale of lifestyle, residential, and commercial properties; and provision of insurance risk advisory and brokerage services, covering rural, lifestyle, and bull insurance solutions. GG Wrightson Limited was founded in 1841 and is headquartered in Christchurch, New Zealand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PGG Wrightson Limited reported revenue of $975M in FY2025 versus $845M in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $10.7M in FY2025, compounding −17.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 45/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$975M
Latest YoY
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 $845M
FY22 $841M
FY23 $976M
FY24 $916M
FY25 $975M
Net income −17.2%/yr
FY21 $22.7M
FY22 $24.3M
FY23 $17.5M
FY24 $3.1M
FY25 $10.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −13.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share −2.5 pp

of which total revenue −2.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +8.1 pp
Tax rate −0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −18.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PGG Wrightson Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PGWFF

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 34.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 20
FUTURE 43 · sector 16
PAST 26 · sector 20
HEALTH 75 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 39

Insider activity: 52/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is PGG Wrightson Limited (PGWFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.39 versus a price of $1.35, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PGWFF?
Our model-based fair value for PGG Wrightson Limited is $1.39 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.35.
What is the quality score of PGWFF?
PGG Wrightson Limited has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PGG Wrightson Limited (PGWFF)?
PGG Wrightson Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PGWFF?
The net profit margin of PGG Wrightson Limited is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PGG Wrightson Limited pay a dividend?
PGG Wrightson Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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