PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (PSGTY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $630M

A solid business, screening 93% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.67). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• The model range is unusually wide ($1.67 to $4.95). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.50 – $16.96 · fair‑value band $1.67 – $4.95 · the $1.63 price screens below the $3.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (PSGTY) currently trades at $1.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.15, implying the stock looks roughly 93.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk generated revenue of $35.2T at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at $5.8T. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.67 (bear case) to $4.95 (bull case); at $1.63, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 93%, PSGTY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($27.40) versus Growth Earnings ($2.59). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk manufactures, packs, and distributes cement in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Cement Production and Non-Cement Production segments.

Full company description

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk manufactures, packs, and distributes cement in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Cement Production and Non-Cement Production segments. The company is also involved in limestone and clay mining; cement bag manufacturing; industrial real estate development and building rental; ready-mix concrete and aggregates quarry production; and mining, trading, transportation, and construction activities. In addition, it engages in the information system, investment, freight forwarding, stevedoring, sea transportation service, logistic management, and outsourcing businesses, as well as procures public goods and services. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk was formerly known as PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk and changed its name to PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk in January 2013. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Danantara Asset Management (Persero).

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk reported revenue of $35.2T in FY2025 versus $35.0T in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was $191B in FY2025, compounding −44.7%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Building Materials · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.