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Polestar Automotive Holding (PSNY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.8B

PA Polestar Automotive Holding logo Polestar Automotive Holding PSNY · US
Price$14.23
Fair Value$34.09
Upside+139.5%
Quality31/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -77.1% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Range $25.57 – $42.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 47 days ago

Share price −24.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 140% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($25.57). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$459.90 $12.01 Fair Value $34.09 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.01 – $459.90 · fair‑value band $25.57 – $42.61 · the $14.23 price screens below the $34.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Polestar Automotive Holding (PSNY) currently trades at $14.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.09, implying the stock looks roughly 139.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Polestar Automotive Holding generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of -77.1%. Revenue grew 45.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $5.3B. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.57 (bear case) to $42.61 (bull case); at $14.23, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 140%, PSNY screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.4%
Net margin -77.1%
Return on equity -398%
Free cash flow −$1.0B FY2025
Operating margin -32.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-27.46
Net debt $5.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC engages in the research and development, marketing, commercialization, and sale of battery electric vehicles in Europe, North America, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and internationally.

Full company description

Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC engages in the research and development, marketing, commercialization, and sale of battery electric vehicles in Europe, North America, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and internationally. The company offers battery electric vehicles, including Polestar 2 (PS2); Polestar 3 (PS3); Polestar 4 (PS4); Polestar 5 (PS5); and Polestar 6 (PS6), a roadster. It also provides licenses and royalties; software and performance engineered kits; and carbon credits. In addition, the company is involved in vehicle leasing activity. Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Polestar Automotive Holding reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +22.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.4B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.1B
Latest YoY
+50.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+38.0%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+79.2%
Revenue +22.8%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $2.4B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 $3.1B
Net income
FY21 −$1.0B
FY22 −$479M
FY23 −$1.2B
FY24 −$2.0B
FY25 −$2.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Polestar Automotive Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PSNY

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +140% · Top 25%
Return on assets -15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -77% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -32% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 45% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.60× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 100 · sector 33
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $179.76 $224.63 +25%
BYD Company 81211 HK$80.55 HK$50.85 -37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 425,000 KRW 616,918 KRW +45%
General Motors Company GM $77.72 $56.93 -27%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 2,944 MXN +54%
Ferrari N.V RACE $376.64 $228.05 -39%
Ford Motor Company F C$11.86 C$4.00 -66%
Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ C$20.44 C$35.15 +72%
Volkswagen AG VOW 2,149 CZK 7,191 CZK +235%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹13,803 ₹8,236 -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Polestar Automotive Holding (PSNY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.09 versus a price of $14.23, about +140% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PSNY?
Our model-based fair value for Polestar Automotive Holding is $34.09 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.23.
What is the quality score of PSNY?
Polestar Automotive Holding has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Polestar Automotive Holding (PSNY)?
Polestar Automotive Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PSNY?
The net profit margin of Polestar Automotive Holding is about -77.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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