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PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk (PTLKF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $35.4M

PL PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk logo PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk PTLKF · US
Price$0.0100
Fair Value$0.0077
Upside-23.0%
Quality19/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range $0.0077 – $0.0077 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0077). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.0785 $0.0010 Fair Value $0.0077 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0010 – $0.0785 · the $0.0100 price screens above the $0.0077 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk (PTLKF) currently trades at $0.0100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0077, implying the stock looks roughly 23.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk generated revenue of $7.4T at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue declined 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at $7.7T. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -23%, PTLKF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $95.47 $84.27 $54.78 76
Gordon GGM $0.0036 $0.0036 $0.0036 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0036 $0.0036 $0.0036 61
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0036 $0.0036 $0.0036 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0036 $0.0036 $0.0036 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $30.70 $40.93 $51.16 58
P/B Multiple $30.70 $40.93 $51.16 55
EV/EBIT $42.21 $59.48 $76.76 53
EV/EBITDA $63.93 $88.45 $112.97 54
EV/Revenue $18.96 $31.21 $43.46 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $77.25 $103.51 $154.49 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $95.47 $84.27 $54.78 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($103.51) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0036). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.4T
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.7%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 1.5%
Free cash flow −$1.8T FY2025
EPS growth (YoY) -36.8%
More key figures
Net debt $7.7T FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk engages in real estate development, healthcare and lifestyle businesses in Indonesia. The company is also involved in investment, development, trading, home care, and financing activities; installation and water treatment; town management; urban development; marketing and building management; clean water and waste management; hotel …

Full company description

PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk engages in real estate development, healthcare and lifestyle businesses in Indonesia. The company is also involved in investment, development, trading, home care, and financing activities; installation and water treatment; town management; urban development; marketing and building management; clean water and waste management; hotel management; catering service; and provision of accommodation and burial services. PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk founded in 1990 and is based in Tangerang, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk reported revenue of $8.9T in FY2025 versus $16.1T in FY2021, a compound −13.9%/yr. Reported net income was $471B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$8.9T
Latest YoY
−21.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Revenue −13.9%/yr
FY21 $16.1T
FY22 $14.7T
FY23 $16.8T
FY24 $11.3T
FY25 $8.9T
Net income
FY21 −$1.6T
FY22 −$2.3T
FY23 $50.1B
FY24 $18.7T
FY25 $471B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share −4.8 pp

of which total revenue +2.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.9 pp

EBIT margin +12.4 pp
Tax rate +2.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

PTLKF screens 23% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PTLKF

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 261 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 2.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 6 · sector 30
HEALTH 94 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $378.85 $554.93 +46%
Fresenius SE FRE €41.73 €32.15 -23%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 235.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -52%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.58 SGD 1.44 SGD -44%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $194.91 $338.05 +73%
Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 R$36.01 R$47.31 +31%
DaVita Inc DVA $231.61 $255.97 +11%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,955 ₹2,955 -67%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS $24.68 $45.60 +85%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.68 ¥7.67 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk (PTLKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0077 versus a price of $0.0100, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PTLKF?
Our model-based fair value for PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk is $0.0077 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0100.
What is the quality score of PTLKF?
PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk (PTLKF)?
PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.4T (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PTLKF?
The net profit margin of PT Lippo Karawaci Tbk is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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