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Stifel Financial Corporation (SFB) Fair Value & Analysis

Other · US · Market cap $7.0B

SF Stifel Financial Corporation logo Stifel Financial Corporation SFB · US
Price$19.66
Fair Value$26.80
Upside+36.3%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.37% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: Medium Range $20.10 – $33.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from $46.85 to $26.80 (−42.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 36% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($20.10). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$21.20 $15.37 Fair Value $26.80 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.37 – $21.20 · fair‑value band $20.10 – $33.74 · the $19.66 price screens below the $26.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Stifel Financial Corporation (SFB) currently trades at $19.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.80, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Other sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

It earns a return on equity of 19.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $103M. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $20.10 (bear case) to $33.74 (bull case); at $19.66, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 36%, SFB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $53.62 $99.24 $172.73 80
Residual Income $14.72 $17.13 $33.92 76
Rev-Margin DCF $32.88 $51.34 $90.36 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $56.89 $85.91 $176.38 38
Owner Earnings $32.68 $68.64 $141.35 31
5Y Revenue Exit $30.36 $45.21 $75.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $29.28 $43.03 $69.74 41
5Y P/E Exit $33.40 $62.43 $100.55 38
10Y Revenue Exit $38.12 $68.16 $83.63 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $38.00 $65.89 $109.78 37
10Y P/E Exit $40.94 $74.57 $126.56 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.08 $91.23 $128.03 54
Lynch FV $47.13 $67.33 $87.54 50
PEG = 1.0 $47.13 $67.33 $87.54 46
EPV $25.65 $29.20 $32.27 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $20.20 $26.93 $33.67 63
P/S Multiple $16.07 $21.43 $26.79 58
P/B Multiple $21.86 $29.15 $36.44 55
EV/EBIT $25.66 $33.17 $40.68 53
EV/EBITDA $17.73 $22.60 $27.47 54
EV/Revenue $18.12 $24.55 $30.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.10 $10.85 $16.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $53.62 $99.24 $172.73 80
Rev-Margin DCF $32.88 $51.34 $90.36 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.72 $17.13 $33.92 76
ROIC Compounder $33.48 $49.42 $59.60 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $55.24 $78.92 $102.59 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($78.92) versus Asset-Based ($10.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Return on equity 19.6%
Free cash flow $1.2B FY2025
Dividend yield 6.4%
Net cash $103M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Stifel Financial Corporation 5.20% Senior Notes due 2047

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Stifel Financial Corporation reported revenue of $6.3B in FY2025 versus $4.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was $684M in FY2025, compounding −4.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.3B
Latest YoY
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+13.3%
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 $4.8B
FY22 $4.6B
FY23 $5.2B
FY24 $5.9B
FY25 $6.3B
Net income −4.6%/yr
FY21 $825M
FY22 $662M
FY23 $523M
FY24 $731M
FY25 $684M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stifel Financial Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SFB

Peer Group

Other · 390 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +36% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 82 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 78 · sector 0
HEALTH 90 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 0

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Stifel Financial Corporation (SFB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.80 versus a price of $19.66, about +36% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SFB?
Our model-based fair value for Stifel Financial Corporation is $26.80 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $19.66.
What is the quality score of SFB?
Stifel Financial Corporation has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of SFB?
The net profit margin of Stifel Financial Corporation is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Stifel Financial Corporation pay a dividend?
Stifel Financial Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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