Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group (SFDMY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $1.4B

A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($26.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.05 – $49.85 · fair‑value band $20.40 – $26.84 · the $49.75 price screens above the $23.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group (SFDMY) currently trades at $49.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.87, implying the stock looks roughly 52.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group generated revenue of $3.5B at a net margin of 30.5%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.3%. Net debt stands at $222M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $20.40 (bear case) to $26.84 (bull case); at $49.75, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -52%, SFDMY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($40.75) versus Dividend Discount ($7.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited designs, develops, and sells integrated circuit products and integrated circuit product testing services in Mainland China and internationally.

Full company description

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited designs, develops, and sells integrated circuit products and integrated circuit product testing services in Mainland China and internationally. It offers security and identification products, including sensors, contact and contactless memory ICs, HF RFID and NFC tag ICs, NFC channel ICs, contactless CPU cards, chips, contact dual interface, CPU card chips, secured encryption chips, and HF reader chips. The company also provides smart meters ASIC chips, ultra-low general-purpose MCU, and ePLC solutions; NVM products, such as EEPROM, SPI NOR flash, SPI and parallel NAND flash, and ASNVM; and specific analog circuits. In addition, it offers bank cards, smart meters, social security cards, smart transportation cards, and ePLC solutions; and issuance and validation services. Further, the company provides chip testing services and products. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Company Limited. Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group reported revenue of $4.0B in FY2025 versus $2.6B in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was $232M in FY2025, compounding −18.0%/yr from FY2021.

SFDMY screens 52% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 319 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.