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United Plantations Berhad (UPBMF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.2B

UP United Plantations Berhad logo United Plantations Berhad UPBMF · US
Price$3.51
Fair Value$3.52
Upside+0.5%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 30.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
23.10% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/10)
Wide moat 83/100
Evidence: High Range $2.09 – $4.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($2.09 to $4.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$4.09 $1.66 Fair Value $3.52 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.66 – $4.09 · fair‑value band $2.09 – $4.46 · the $3.51 price screens below the $3.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

United Plantations Berhad (UPBMF) currently trades at $3.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.52, implying the stock looks roughly 0.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, United Plantations Berhad generated revenue of $2.7B at a net margin of 30.7%. Revenue grew 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $371M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.09 (bear case) to $4.46 (bull case); at $3.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 1%, UPBMF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $8.69 $11.96 $77.23 76
Growth DCF $14.10 $23.17 $37.54 72
Growth-Adj P/E $16.46 $23.51 $30.56 68
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.19 $24.07 $40.29 38
Owner Earnings $14.47 $24.56 $41.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit $9.79 $15.33 $22.58 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $16.36 $28.67 $43.97 41
5Y P/E Exit $17.24 $30.46 $45.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit $10.99 $16.64 $24.81 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $15.45 $26.12 $42.08 37
10Y P/E Exit $16.02 $27.39 $43.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.00 $39.72 $54.38 54
Lynch FV $10.28 $14.69 $19.09 50
PEG = 1.0 $10.28 $14.69 $19.09 46
EPV $12.09 $13.90 $15.46 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $19.85 $26.46 $33.08 63
P/S Multiple $7.56 $10.08 $12.60 58
P/B Multiple $10.37 $13.82 $17.28 55
EV/EBIT $23.68 $31.36 $39.04 53
EV/EBITDA $19.04 $25.17 $31.30 54
EV/Revenue $7.70 $10.72 $13.74 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.30 $3.09 $4.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $14.10 $23.17 $37.54 72
Rev-Margin DCF $9.79 $15.32 $22.37 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.69 $11.96 $77.23 76
ROIC Compounder $13.35 $16.98 $21.32 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.46 $23.51 $30.56 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($24.56) versus Asset-Based ($3.09). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.8%
Net margin 30.7%
Return on equity 27.8%
Free cash flow $702M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.0
More key figures
Operating margin 32.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.2500
EPS growth (YoY) -1.6%
Net cash $371M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 85
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

United Plantations Berhad engages in the cultivation and processing of oil palm and coconuts in Malaysia, Indonesia, Europe, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Plantations, Palm Oil Refining, and Other segments. The company offers edible oils, fats, and cocoa butter substitutes; and trades in crude palm oil and palm kernel products.

Full company description

United Plantations Berhad engages in the cultivation and processing of oil palm and coconuts in Malaysia, Indonesia, Europe, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Plantations, Palm Oil Refining, and Other segments. The company offers edible oils, fats, and cocoa butter substitutes; and trades in crude palm oil and palm kernel products. It also provides trading and marketing services. United Plantations Berhad was founded in 1906 and is based in Teluk Intan, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

United Plantations Berhad reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $2.0B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was $823M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 99/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.5B
Latest YoY
+14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+8.9%
Revenue +5.4%/yr
FY21 $2.0B
FY22 $2.5B
FY23 $2.0B
FY24 $2.2B
FY25 $2.5B
Net income +12.3%/yr
FY21 $518M
FY22 $602M
FY23 $705M
FY24 $713M
FY25 $823M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United Plantations Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UPBMF

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 19% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 23.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.0× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 34 · sector 26
FUTURE 100 · sector 21
PAST 100 · sector 17
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is United Plantations Berhad (UPBMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.52 versus a price of $3.51, about +1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of UPBMF?
Our model-based fair value for United Plantations Berhad is $3.52 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.51.
What is the quality score of UPBMF?
United Plantations Berhad has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of United Plantations Berhad (UPBMF)?
United Plantations Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UPBMF?
The net profit margin of United Plantations Berhad is about 30.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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