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Univanich Palm Oil Public Company (UVPOF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $298M

UP Univanich Palm Oil Public Company logo Univanich Palm Oil Public Company UVPOF · US
Price$0.5290
Fair Value$0.4380
Upside-17.2%
Quality79/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.28% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.2758 – $0.6651 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $0.8200 to $0.4380 (−46.6%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A strong business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.2758 to $0.6651) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.5290 $0.0712 Fair Value $0.4380 Oct 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0712 – $0.5290 · fair‑value band $0.2758 – $0.6651 · the $0.5290 price screens above the $0.4380 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Univanich Palm Oil Public Company (UVPOF) currently trades at $0.5290, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4380, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Univanich Palm Oil Public Company generated revenue of $17.4B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 31.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2758 (bear case) to $0.6651 (bull case); at $0.5290, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -17%, UVPOF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.4304 $0.5955 $0.8017 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.5058 $0.8067 $1.17 74
ROIC Compounder $0.4574 $0.5355 $0.6166 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.4328 $0.6149 $0.8554 38
Owner Earnings $0.4126 $0.5851 $0.8133 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.5058 $0.8100 $1.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.5712 $0.9368 $1.37 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.6547 $1.10 $1.58 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4548 $0.7004 $1.05 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.5038 $0.7773 $1.16 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.5498 $0.8750 $1.30 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3775 $1.40 $1.89 54
Lynch FV $0.3356 $0.4797 $0.6235 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.3356 $0.4797 $0.6235 46
EPV $0.4331 $0.4800 $0.5183 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.8742 $1.17 $1.46 63
P/S Multiple $0.6226 $0.8302 $1.04 58
P/B Multiple $0.7078 $0.9437 $1.18 55
EV/EBIT $0.8795 $1.16 $1.44 53
EV/EBITDA $0.7524 $0.9897 $1.23 54
EV/Revenue $0.5857 $0.8192 $1.05 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0879 $0.1179 $0.1758 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4304 $0.5955 $0.8017 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.5058 $0.8067 $1.17 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2941 $0.4096 $2.21 61
ROIC Compounder $0.4574 $0.5355 $0.6166 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.6247 $0.8923 $1.16 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.9437) versus Asset-Based ($0.1179). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $17.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.6%
Net margin 10.6%
Return on equity 35.9%
Free cash flow $1.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 5.3
More key figures
Operating margin 7.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.0600
Dividend yield 7.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +89.6%
Net cash $1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 79/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 84
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Univanich Palm Oil Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in oil palm plantations, crushing mills, and oil palm research and seed businesses in Thailand and the Philippines. It processes crude palm oil and palm kernel oil. It also offers palm seeds.

Full company description

Univanich Palm Oil Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in oil palm plantations, crushing mills, and oil palm research and seed businesses in Thailand and the Philippines. It processes crude palm oil and palm kernel oil. It also offers palm seeds. In addition, the company operates electric power plants with methane capture biogas project. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Krabi, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Univanich Palm Oil Public Company reported revenue of $16.4B in FY2025 versus $11.8B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8B in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$16.4B
Latest YoY
+21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 $11.8B
FY22 $18.6B
FY23 $14.2B
FY24 $13.6B
FY25 $16.4B
Net income +20.3%/yr
FY21 $839M
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $936M
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $1.8B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +14.0 pp

of which total revenue +14.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −0.6 pp
Tax rate −0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

UVPOF screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Univanich Palm Oil Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UVPOF

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Return on assets 23% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 25
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 100 · sector 17
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Univanich Palm Oil Public Company (UVPOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4380 versus a price of $0.5290, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UVPOF?
Our model-based fair value for Univanich Palm Oil Public Company is $0.4380 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.5290.
What is the quality score of UVPOF?
Univanich Palm Oil Public Company has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Univanich Palm Oil Public Company (UVPOF)?
Univanich Palm Oil Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UVPOF?
The net profit margin of Univanich Palm Oil Public Company is about 10.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Univanich Palm Oil Public Company pay a dividend?
Univanich Palm Oil Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.28% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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