Univanich Palm Oil Public Company (UVPOF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $298M
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $0.8200 to $0.4380 (−46.6%) since Jun 25, 2026.
A strong business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 79/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.2758 to $0.6651) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0712 – $0.5290 · fair‑value band $0.2758 – $0.6651 · the $0.5290 price screens above the $0.4380 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Univanich Palm Oil Public Company (UVPOF) currently trades at $0.5290, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4380, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Univanich Palm Oil Public Company generated revenue of $17.4B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 31.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2758 (bear case) to $0.6651 (bull case); at $0.5290, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 103% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -17%, UVPOF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.9437) versus Asset-Based ($0.1179). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Univanich Palm Oil Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in oil palm plantations, crushing mills, and oil palm research and seed businesses in Thailand and the Philippines. It processes crude palm oil and palm kernel oil. It also offers palm seeds.
Full company description
Univanich Palm Oil Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in oil palm plantations, crushing mills, and oil palm research and seed businesses in Thailand and the Philippines. It processes crude palm oil and palm kernel oil. It also offers palm seeds. In addition, the company operates electric power plants with methane capture biogas project. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Krabi, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Univanich Palm Oil Public Company reported revenue of $16.4B in FY2025 versus $11.8B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8B in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
UVPOF screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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