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Vector Limited (VETTF) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $2.2B

VL Vector Limited logo Vector Limited VETTF · US
Price$2.73
Fair Value$1.51
Upside-44.7%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
9.34% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $1.24 – $1.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from $1.46 to $1.51 (+3.4%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 45% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$3.01 $1.02 Fair Value $1.51 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.02 – $3.01 · fair‑value band $1.24 – $1.73 · the $2.73 price screens above the $1.51 fair value. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Vector Limited (VETTF) currently trades at $2.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.51, implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Vector Limited generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 13.6%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at $2.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.24 (bear case) to $1.73 (bull case); at $2.73, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -45%, VETTF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $2.72 $2.75 $2.57 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.7700 74
ROIC Compounder $0.0500 $0.3800 $0.6600 72
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $0.9500 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.18 $2.89 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.1300 $1.15 38
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.0700 $0.9600 37
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.13 $1.38 $1.56 54
EPV $0.0500 $0.3800 $0.6600 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.36 $2.57 $2.89 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.36 $2.92 $3.68 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.25 $3.00 $3.75 63
P/S Multiple $1.95 $2.60 $3.25 58
P/B Multiple $2.12 $2.83 $3.54 55
EV/EBIT $1.52 $2.70 $3.88 53
EV/EBITDA $1.39 $2.53 $3.67 54
EV/Revenue $0.5700 $1.35 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.80 $2.41 $3.60 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $0.7700 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.72 $2.75 $2.57 76
ROIC Compounder $0.0500 $0.3800 $0.6600 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.60 $2.28 $2.97 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.60) versus DCF Models ($0.1300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.0%
Net margin 13.6%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow $40.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 24.8
More key figures
Operating margin 39.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.0900
Dividend yield 9.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.2%
Net debt $2.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vector Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in electricity and gas distribution, telecommunication and new energy solutions businesses in New Zealand. The company operates in two segments, Electricity and Gas Distribution.

Full company description

Vector Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in electricity and gas distribution, telecommunication and new energy solutions businesses in New Zealand. The company operates in two segments, Electricity and Gas Distribution. It provides electricity to residential and commercial customers in Auckland through its network consisting of approximately 19,000 kilometers of electricity lines; and technology services. The company designs, builds, and maintains fibre-optic data networks, as well as owns and operates gas distribution network in Auckland; provides energy solutions for home ventilation, home heating, and water filtration systems; and operates electric vehicle charging station. In addition, it offers trustee and cyber security services. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand. Vector Limited is a subsidiary of Entrust.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vector Limited reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was $167M in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 25/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.0B
Latest YoY
−9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+2.9%
Revenue −3.5%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.0B
Net income −3.6%/yr
FY21 $193M
FY22 $159M
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $88.6M
FY25 $167M

VETTF screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vector Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VETTF

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −45% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.57× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.62× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.96× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 55.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.35× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 30 · sector 0
PAST 16 · sector 33
HEALTH 72 · sector 49
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €21.25 €9.34 -56%
Enel SpA ENEL €10.28 €5.83 -43%
Engie SA 1ENGI €26.59 €17.39 -35%
Sempra SRE $93.15 $47.77 -49%
E.ON SE EOAN €19.34 €11.71 -39%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE €56.52 €29.64 -48%
ACWA Power Company 2082 198.20 SAR 25.38 SAR -87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$55.05 C$17.66 -68%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €69.00 €21.11 -69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.41 €3.81 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vector Limited (VETTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.51 versus a price of $2.73, about −45% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VETTF?
Our model-based fair value for Vector Limited is $1.51 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.73.
What is the quality score of VETTF?
Vector Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vector Limited (VETTF)?
Vector Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VETTF?
The net profit margin of Vector Limited is about 13.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Vector Limited pay a dividend?
Vector Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.34% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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