Vital Healthcare Property Trust (VTHPF) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $682M
Vital Healthcare Property Trust
VTHPF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $0.2300 to $0.2800 (+21.7%) since Jun 26, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.7600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.2800 to $0.7600). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (16 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range $0.7313 – $0.8500 · fair‑value band $0.2800 – $0.7600 · the $0.8500 price screens above the $0.2800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Vital Healthcare Property Trust (VTHPF) currently trades at $0.8500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 67.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Vital Healthcare Property Trust generated revenue of $185M at a net margin of -10.0%. Revenue declined 45.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.8%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2800 (bear case) to $0.7600 (bull case); at $0.8500, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -67%, VTHPF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.70) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8800). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vital Healthcare Property Trust is an NZX-listed fund that invests in hi-quality healthcare properties in New Zealand and Australia including private hospitals (80% of portfolio value) and ambulatory care facilities (20% of portfolio value). Vital is the leading specialist listed landlord of healthcare property in Australasia.
Full company description
Vital Healthcare Property Trust is an NZX-listed fund that invests in hi-quality healthcare properties in New Zealand and Australia including private hospitals (80% of portfolio value) and ambulatory care facilities (20% of portfolio value). Vital is the leading specialist listed landlord of healthcare property in Australasia. Vital Healthcare Property Trust was established on February 11, 1994 and incorporated in New Zealand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vital Healthcare Property Trust reported revenue of $177M in FY2025 versus $126M in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$51.2M in FY2025.
VTHPF screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Welltower Inc →
Peer Group
REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Welltower Inc WELL | $231.59 | $42.21 | -82% |
| Ventas, Inc VTR | $100.53 | $18.07 | -82% |
| Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI | $51.72 | $33.69 | -35% |
| Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC | $22.27 | $7.02 | -68% |
| American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR | $56.38 | $11.04 | -80% |
| CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE | $43.25 | $23.07 | -47% |
| Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR | $21.40 | $20.60 | -4% |
| Aedifica NV AED | €69.85 | €36.17 | -48% |
| Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN | C$22.81 | C$3.52 | -85% |
| Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA | $22.36 | $10.49 | -53% |
Compare Vital Healthcare Property Trust with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Real Estate stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Vital Healthcare Property Trust (VTHPF) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of VTHPF?
What is the quality score of VTHPF?
What is the revenue of Vital Healthcare Property Trust (VTHPF)?
What is the net profit margin of VTHPF?
Does Vital Healthcare Property Trust pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Vital Healthcare Property Trust and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.