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Xtera Communications Inc (XCOMQ) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $1.7K

XC Xtera Communications Inc logo Xtera Communications Inc XCOMQ · US
Price$0.0001
Fair Value$0.0001
Upside+0.0%
Quality31/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -87.9% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/6)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0001 – $0.0001 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.0390 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0001 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.0390 · the $0.0001 price screens below the $0.0001 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Xtera Communications Inc (XCOMQ) currently trades at $0.0001, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0001, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xtera Communications Inc generated revenue of $50.1M at a net margin of -87.9%. Revenue declined 66.9% year over year. Net debt stands at $11.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at 0%, XCOMQ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0002 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0002 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $50.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -66.9%
Net margin -87.9%
Free cash flow −$8.1M FY2015
Operating margin -409%
EPS (TTM) $-0.0400
More key figures
Net debt $11.1M FY2015

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xtera Communications, Inc. is in the process of liquidation. Previously, it provided Raman amplification enabled optical transport systems for terrestrial and submarine networks worldwide. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Allen, Texas. On February 21, 2017, the voluntary petition of Xtera Communications, Inc.

Full company description

Xtera Communications, Inc. is in the process of liquidation. Previously, it provided Raman amplification enabled optical transport systems for terrestrial and submarine networks worldwide. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Allen, Texas. On February 21, 2017, the voluntary petition of Xtera Communications, Inc. for reorganization under Chapter 11 was converted to Chapter 7. It had filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on November 15, 2016.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2013 – FY2015 · reported fiscal years

Xtera Communications Inc reported revenue of $58.7M in FY2015 versus $31.9M in FY2013, a compound +35.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.6M in FY2015.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2015)
$58.7M
Latest YoY
+134.7%
Revenue +35.6%/yr
FY13 $31.9M
FY14 $25.0M
FY15 $58.7M
Net income
FY13 −$24.6M
FY14 −$26.1M
FY15 −$16.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xtera Communications Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XCOMQ

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 300 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +0% · Above median
Return on assets -59% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -88% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -67% · Bottom 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 36
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $120.43 $61.53 -49%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥921.00 ¥171.09 -81%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥65.60 ¥28.65 -56%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥429.90 ¥176.99 -59%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.32 $3.77 -63%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $469.74 $236.33 -50%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥240.05 ¥43.67 -82%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,270 TWD 1,135 TWD -50%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERICB kr 97.78 kr 157.82 +61%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥35.59 ¥19.72 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xtera Communications Inc (XCOMQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0001 versus a price of $0.0001, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of XCOMQ?
Our model-based fair value for Xtera Communications Inc is $0.0001 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0001.
What is the quality score of XCOMQ?
Xtera Communications Inc has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xtera Communications Inc (XCOMQ)?
Xtera Communications Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $50.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XCOMQ?
The net profit margin of Xtera Communications Inc is about -87.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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