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Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A (YMRE) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · ES · Market cap €95.0M

MR Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A YMRE · MC
Price€0.7700
Fair Value€1.94
Upside+152.0%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -17.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Medium Range €1.27 – €2.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €0.7100 to €1.94 (+173.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −0.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 152% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.27). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€1.27 to €2.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€0.8800 €0.2758 Fair Value €1.94 Dec 2017 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.2758 – €0.8800 · fair‑value band €1.27 – €2.61 · the €0.7700 price screens below the €1.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A (YMRE) currently trades at €0.7700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.94, implying the stock looks roughly 152.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A generated revenue of €45.7M at a net margin of -35.2%. It earns a return on equity of -23.6%. Net debt stands at €41.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.27 (bear case) to €2.61 (bull case); at €0.7700, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 152%, YMRE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €2.55 €4.32 €7.09 80
Gordon GGM €0.3500 €0.5900 €0.7700 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.3500 €0.5600 €0.6300 61
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €2.75 €3.98 €7.59 38
5Y Revenue Exit €2.03 €3.51 €6.58 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.8500 €1.12 €1.63 41
10Y Revenue Exit €2.23 €4.65 €6.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.55 €2.48 €3.68 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.3500 €0.5900 €0.7700 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.3500 €0.5600 €0.6300 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue €1.50 €2.29 €3.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.3400 €0.4500 €0.6700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €2.55 €4.32 €7.09 80

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€4.32) versus Asset-Based (€0.4500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €45.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +588%
Net margin -35.2%
Return on equity -23.6%
Free cash flow €31.8M FY2025
Operating margin -9.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.1300
EPS growth (YoY) -92.4%
Net debt €41.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A. operates as a real estate investment company in Spain. It has investments in active real estate projects located in Madrid and Barcelona. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Barcelona, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A reported revenue of €45.7M in FY2025 versus €9.5M in FY2021, a compound +48.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€16.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€45.7M
Latest YoY
+606.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+92.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.0%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.3%
Revenue +48.2%/yr
FY21 €9.5M
FY22 €6.4M
FY23 €6.1M
FY24 €6.5M
FY25 €45.7M
Net income
FY21 €15.7M
FY22 €72.3M
FY23 −€2.6M
FY24 −€13.1M
FY25 −€16.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YMRE

Peer Group

REIT - Office · 75 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +152% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -17% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -94% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -73% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.72× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Office median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.47× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 5
HEALTH 64 · sector 64
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 100

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Office stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A MRL €15.23 €6.46 -58%
BXP, Inc BXP $69.11 $53.27 -23%
Vornado Realty Trust VNORP $51.75 $41.59 -20%
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc ARE $50.12 $59.48 +19%
Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc HPP $15.38 $4.60 -70%
Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust N2IU 1.28 SGD 1.14 SGD -11%
Cousins Properties Incorporated CUZ $32.15 $17.62 -45%
Kilroy Realty Corporation KRC $39.42 $40.37 +2%
Keppel DC REIT AJBU 2.20 SGD 1.68 SGD -24%
DEXUS DXS A$5.64 A$4.49 -20%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A (YMRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.94 versus a price of €0.7700, about +152% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YMRE?
Our model-based fair value for Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A is €1.94 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.7700.
What is the quality score of YMRE?
Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A (YMRE)?
Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €45.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YMRE?
The net profit margin of Meridia Real Estate III, SOCIMI, S.A is about -35.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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