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Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A (YSIL) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · ES · Market cap €283M

SR Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A YSIL · MC
Price€10.70
Fair Value€7.87
Upside-26.5%
Quality72/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 49.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range €5.90 – €7.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −2.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€7.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€16.71 €10.70 Fair Value €7.87 Sep 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range €10.70 – €16.71 · fair‑value band €5.90 – €7.87 · the €10.70 price screens above the €7.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A (YSIL) currently trades at €10.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.87, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A generated revenue of €31.1M at a net margin of 47.1%. Revenue declined 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at €153M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €5.90 (bear case) to €7.87 (bull case); at €10.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -26%, YSIL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €8.19 €7.91 €6.51 76
Rev-Margin DCF €2.57 74
P/S Multiple €5.90 €7.87 €9.83 58
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.4200 38
5Y Revenue Exit €2.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.52 €6.83 41
10Y Revenue Exit €1.71 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.7100 €4.42 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple €5.90 €7.87 €9.83 58
P/B Multiple €7.27 €9.69 €12.11 55
EV/EBIT €1.37 €3.77 €6.16 53
EV/EBITDA €1.06 €3.36 €5.65 54
EV/Revenue €1.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €6.00 €8.03 €11.99 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF €2.57 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €8.19 €7.91 €6.51 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€8.03) versus DCF Models (€0.7100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €30.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.3%
Net margin 49.6%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow €8.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 19.3
More key figures
Operating margin 57.6%
EPS (TTM) €0.5700
EPS growth (YoY) +33.3%
Net debt €153M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A. purchases and manages real estate assets in Spain. Its portfolio of assets include retail, offices, hotels, shopping centers, residential, and logistics. The company is based in Madrid, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A reported revenue of €31.2M in FY2025 versus €28.8M in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was €14.7M in FY2025, compounding −27.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€31.2M
Latest YoY
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.9%
Revenue +2.0%/yr
FY21 €28.8M
FY22 €40.0M
FY23 €34.6M
FY24 €31.6M
FY25 €31.2M
Net income −27.1%/yr
FY21 €52.0M
FY22 €10.8M
FY23 −€27.6M
FY24 −€15.5M
FY25 €14.7M

YSIL screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YSIL

Peer Group

REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 50% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 58% · Above median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.49× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.06× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 10.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 37.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 34.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 13
FUTURE 0 · sector 13
PAST 19 · sector 20
HEALTH 75 · sector 72
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 97

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$29.11 A$7.37 -75%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $26.73 $41.74 +56%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $76.69 $35.59 -54%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$21.90 A$11.46 -48%
Fibra Uno FUNO11 31.10 MXN 63.56 MXN +104%
COV COV €52.55 €62.39 +19%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.89 A$3.49 -29%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.70 A$0.5700 -66%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.85 MYR 6.91 MYR -22%
CRRUN CRRUN C$17.65 C$17.89 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A (YSIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €7.87 versus a price of €10.70, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YSIL?
Our model-based fair value for Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A is €7.87 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €10.70.
What is the quality score of YSIL?
Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A (YSIL)?
Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €31.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YSIL?
The net profit margin of Silicius Real Estate Socimi, S.A is about 47.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 47.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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