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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTOEF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $13.0B

Price$17.00
Fair Value$45.27
Upside+166.3%
Quality94/100
Evidence: High Range $28.35 – $57.07

Analysis

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTOEF) currently trades at $17.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.27 — implying the stock looks roughly 166.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It also offers less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics services; integrated logistics solutions for warehousing, distribution, and transportation; and freight forwarding services. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.