Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Union Pacific (UNP) and Boeing (BA) compare, as of Aug 13, 2026.
As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Union Pacific as the less overvalued of the two: Union Pacific trades at $294 versus a fair value of $141 (-52%), while Boeing trades at $231 versus $40.97 (-82%).
Union Pacific
UNP · USD · Industrials
-52%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$294
Fair Value$141
Quality67/100
Boeing
BA · USD · Industrials
-82%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$231
Fair Value$40.97
Quality38/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Union PacificBoeing
Valuation
24.6×P/E (TTM)90.9×
7.25×P/S (TTM)1.86×
9.70×P/B31.38×
16.5×EV/EBITDA—
3.64×PEG23.35×
1.8%Dividend yield—
$5.48Dividend per share—
Profitability
29%Net margin2%
40%Operating margin2%
41%Return on equity170%
9%Return on assets-2%
Growth
3%Revenue growth (YoY)14%
-0.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)10.3%
4.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)9.0%
Balance & size
1.64×Debt / equity8.37×
$179BMarket cap$171B
healthyGrowth qualityexpensive
Union Pacific leads: 7 to 5 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Union Pacificof which business quality 63 · market factors 72Boeingof which business quality 33 · market factors 44
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
64
37
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
57
100
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
47
79
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
74
52
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
65
34
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
81
52
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
0
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Union Pacific
DCF Models$122
Earnings-Based$97.30
Multiples$180
Asset-Based$20.84
Growth DCF$69.97
Economic Profit$121
Growth Earnings$204
23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.
Boeing
Earnings-Based$30.22
Dividend Discount$6.51
Multiples$48.20
Asset-Based$4.64
Economic Profit$38.91
Growth Earnings$49.09
10 of 10 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Union Pacific
Bear $87.76Fair Value $141Bull $266
$294 = current price (white tick)
Boeing
Bear $29.21Fair Value $40.97Bull $51.21
$231 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Union Pacific · Industrials
Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-52% · below median
Boeing · Industrials
Quality score38 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-82% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Union Pacific as the less overvalued of the two: Union Pacific trades at $294 versus a fair value of $141 (-52%), while Boeing trades at $231 versus $40.97 (-82%).
Union Pacific has the higher quality score (67/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
