Ferretti S.p.A (9638) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$11.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −4.1% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$17.15 – HK$40.05 · fair‑value band HK$35.64 – HK$63.12 · the HK$33.00 price screens below the HK$50.56 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.
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Ferretti S.p.A (9638) currently trades at HK$33.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$50.56, implying the stock looks roughly 53.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ferretti S.p.A generated revenue of HK$1.4B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$106M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$35.64 (bear case) to HK$63.12 (bull case); at HK$33.00, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at 53%, 9638 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Ferretti S.p.A. designs, constructs, markets, and sells yachts and vessels under the Riva, Wally, Ferretti Yachts, Pershing, Itama, Easy Boat, CRN, and Custom Line brand names. It offers luxury composite yachts, made-to-measure yachts, superyachts with various features, and ancillary services; and owns and operates shipyards. The company also provides yacht brokerage, chartering, and management services, as well as after-sales and refitting services; engages in brand extension activities, such as lounges; manufactures and installs wooden furnishings and kinetics for nautical interiors; and manufactures and sells coastal patrol vessel by the FSD and Wally sailing yachts. The company operates in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific, as well as the North, Central, and South America. Ferretti S.p.A. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Forlì, Italy.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ferretti S.p.A reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$956M in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$90.0M in FY2025, compounding +24.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.