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AT&T Inc (T) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $146B

AT AT&T Inc logo AT&T Inc T · US
Price$23.71
Fair Value$44.90
Upside+89.4%
Quality57/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
5.26% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: Medium Range $23.27 – $66.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +13.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 89% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($23.27 to $66.94). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.42 $11.48 Fair Value $44.90 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.48 – $28.42 · fair‑value band $23.27 – $66.94 · the $23.71 price screens below the $44.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

AT&T Inc (T) currently trades at $23.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.90, implying the stock looks roughly 89.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AT&T Inc generated revenue of $127B at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.4%. Net debt stands at $156B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $23.27 (bear case) to $66.94 (bull case); at $23.71, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 89%, T screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $15.30 $28.14 $45.83 80
Residual Income $20.39 $26.53 $94.25 76
Rev-Margin DCF $14.23 $30.59 $48.33 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.47 $28.41 $48.53 38
Owner Earnings $18.34 $34.06 $56.75 31
5Y Revenue Exit $14.23 $30.34 $50.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $30.68 $59.86 $92.83 41
5Y P/E Exit $21.72 $43.78 $65.97 38
10Y Revenue Exit $13.12 $27.59 $45.72 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $24.36 $47.63 $76.97 37
10Y P/E Exit $18.74 $36.72 $57.24 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $21.42 $53.04 $68.74 54
PEG = 1.0 $9.61 $13.74 $17.86 46
EPV $12.49 $17.18 $21.29 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.81 $20.01 $32.46 70
DDM Multi-Stage $10.81 $16.31 $22.29 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $47.25 $63.00 $78.76 63
P/S Multiple $33.91 $45.21 $56.51 58
P/B Multiple $35.79 $47.72 $59.65 55
EV/EBIT $31.28 $46.93 $62.57 53
EV/EBITDA $47.55 $68.62 $89.69 54
EV/Revenue $15.98 $29.54 $43.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.95 $10.66 $15.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $15.30 $28.14 $45.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.23 $30.59 $48.33 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.39 $26.53 $94.25 76
ROIC Compounder $12.49 $17.71 $24.93 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $36.45 $52.07 $67.69 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($52.07) versus Asset-Based ($10.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $127B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.9%
Net margin 16.9%
Return on equity 18.4%
Free cash flow $19.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 7.1
More key figures
Operating margin 22.7%
EPS (TTM) $2.97
Dividend yield 5.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -11.3%
Net debt $156B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AT&T Inc. provides telecommunications and technology services worldwide. It operates through two segments, Communications and Latin America.

Full company description

AT&T Inc. provides telecommunications and technology services worldwide. It operates through two segments, Communications and Latin America. The Communications segment offers wireless voice and data communications services; and sells handsets, wireless data cards, wireless computing devices, carrying cases/protective covers, and wireless chargers through its own company-owned stores, agents, and third-party retail stores. It also provides AT&T Dedicated Internet, fiber ethernet and broadband, fixed wireless, and hosted and managed professional services; and copper-based voice and data, Virtual Private Networks (VPN), wholesale, outsourcing, and IP, as well as customer premises equipment for multinational corporations, small and mid-sized businesses, governmental, and wholesale customers. In addition, this segment offers broadband services, including fiber connections, legacy telephony voice communication services, and other VoIP services and equipment to residential customers. This segment markets its communications services and products under the AT&T, AT&T Business, Cricket, AT&T PREPAID, AT&T Fiber, and AT&T Internet Air brand names. Its Latin America segment provides postpaid and prepaid wireless services in Mexico under the AT&T and Unefon brand names, as well as sells smartphones through its stores, agents and third-party retail stores. The company was formerly known as SBC Communications Inc. and changed its name to AT&T Inc. in 2005. AT&T Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AT&T Inc reported revenue of $126B in FY2025 versus $134B in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was $21.9B in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$126B
Latest YoY
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+7.2%
Revenue −1.6%/yr
FY21 $134B
FY22 $121B
FY23 $122B
FY24 $122B
FY25 $126B
Net income +2.2%/yr
FY21 $20.1B
FY22 −$8.5B
FY23 $14.4B
FY24 $10.9B
FY25 $21.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AT&T Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/T

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 252 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +89% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.15× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.32× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.16× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.47× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 29
FUTURE 15 · sector 15
PAST 73 · sector 28
HEALTH 43 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 73

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 111.01 MXN +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AT&T Inc (T) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.90 versus a price of $23.71, about +89% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of T?
Our model-based fair value for AT&T Inc is $44.90 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $23.71.
What is the quality score of T?
AT&T Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AT&T Inc (T)?
AT&T Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $127B (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of T?
The net profit margin of AT&T Inc is about 16.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does AT&T Inc pay a dividend?
AT&T Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.71% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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