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APN (APN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · Market cap 64.7B ZAC

A APN APN · JSE
PriceR153.83
Fair ValueR44.26
Upside-71.2%
Quality55/100
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Evidence: Medium Range R16.47 – R72.05

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from R860.36 to R44.26 (−94.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R155.35 R89.16 Fair Value R44.26 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range R89.16 – R155.35 · fair‑value band R16.47 – R72.05 · the R153.83 price screens above the R44.26 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

APN (APN) currently trades at R153.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R44.26 — implying the stock looks roughly 71.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, APN generated revenue of 42.6B ZAR at a net margin of -4.7%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.2%. Net debt stands at 29.7B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 42.6B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin -4.7%
Return on equity -2.2%
Free cash flow 104M ZAC FY2025
Operating margin 10.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) R-4.06
Dividend yield 0.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -38.4%
Net debt 29.7B ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

APN reported revenue of R43.4B in FY2025 versus R37.8B in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −R1.1B in FY2025.

Revenue +3.5%/yr
FY21 R37.8B
FY22 R38.6B
FY23 R40.7B
FY24 R44.7B
FY25 R43.4B
Net income
FY21 R4.8B
FY22 R6.5B
FY23 R5.2B
FY24 R4.4B
FY25 −R1.1B

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Similar stocks

6 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
1276 1276 HK$57.85 HK$29.84 -48%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥47.08 ¥26.59 -44%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,786 ₹991.46 -44%
Zoetis Inc Z1TS34 R$25.93 R$19.70 -24%
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 HK$29.30 HK$23.90 -18%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹6,639 ₹1,281 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is APN (APN) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R44.26 versus a price of R153.83 — about −71% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of APN?
Our model-based fair value for APN is R44.26 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R153.83.
What is the quality score of APN?
APN has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of APN (APN)?
APN reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 42.6B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of APN?
The net profit margin of APN is about -4.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does APN pay a dividend?
APN currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.