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TLG (TLG) Fair Value & Analysis

· Market cap €3.4B

T TLG TLG · VI
Price€30.05
Fair Value€6.29
Upside-79.1%
Quality88/100
Evidence: Medium Range €4.72 – €8.11

Fair value as of: Jun 30, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jun 30, 2026 — revised from €4.80 to €6.29 (+31.0%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€30.05 €29.24 Fair Value €6.29 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range €29.24 – €30.05 · fair‑value band €4.72 – €8.11 · the €30.05 price screens above the €6.29 fair value. As of Jun 30, 2026.

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Analysis

TLG (TLG) currently trades at €30.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.29 — implying the stock looks roughly 79.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 88/100 (high quality). Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Net debt stands at €480M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 7.9. Fundamentals as of Jun 30, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow €62.6M FY2024
P/E ratio 7.9
Dividend yield 3.4%
Net debt €480M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

TLG reported revenue of €144M in FY2024 versus €218M in FY2021, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was €41.7M in FY2024, compounding −49.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −12.9%/yr
FY21 €218M
FY22 €203M
FY23 €175M
FY24 €144M
Net income −49.0%/yr
FY21 €315M
FY22 €54.9M
FY23 −€568M
FY24 €41.7M

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Frequently asked questions

Is TLG (TLG) undervalued?
As of Jun 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.29 versus a price of €30.05 — about −79% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TLG?
Our 21-model fair value for TLG is €6.29 (as of Jun 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €30.05.
What is the quality score of TLG?
TLG has a Quality Score of 88/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the net profit margin of TLG?
The net profit margin of TLG is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does TLG pay a dividend?
TLG currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 30, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.