Exxon Mobil vs ConocoPhillips: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Exxon Mobil (XOM) and ConocoPhillips (COP) compare, as of Aug 13, 2026.
As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees ConocoPhillips as the less overvalued of the two: Exxon Mobil trades at $160 versus a fair value of $90.37 (-43%), while ConocoPhillips trades at $126 versus $91.79 (-27%).
Exxon Mobil
XOM · USD · Energy
-43%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$160
Fair Value$90.37
Quality56/100
ConocoPhillips
COP · USD · Energy
-27%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$126
Fair Value$91.79
Quality58/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Exxon MobilConocoPhillips
Valuation
24.6×P/E (TTM)18.2×
1.86×P/S (TTM)2.22×
2.34×P/B2.04×
11.3×EV/EBITDA6.3×
1.20×PEG0.94×
2.8%Dividend yield2.9%
$4.04Dividend per share$3.24
Profitability
8%Net margin12%
6%Operating margin22%
10%Return on equity11%
4%Return on assets6%
Growth
3%Revenue growth (YoY)-5%
-6.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-9.3%
12.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)25.6%
Balance & size
0.13×Debt / equity0.34×
$606BMarket cap$132B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy
ConocoPhillips leads: 4 to 10 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Exxon Mobilof which business quality 57 · market factors 77ConocoPhillipsof which business quality 61 · market factors 73
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
43
42
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
33
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
60
62
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
88
83
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
63
62
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
87
80
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
77
54
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Exxon Mobil
DCF Models$83.38
Earnings-Based$76.97
Multiples$90.93
Asset-Based$41.93
Growth DCF$86.16
Economic Profit$62.60
Growth Earnings$77.86
22 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.
ConocoPhillips
DCF Models$137
Earnings-Based$42.34
Dividend Discount$54.97
Multiples$86.74
Asset-Based$35.46
Growth DCF$153
Economic Profit$54.19
Growth Earnings$81.65
20 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Exxon Mobil
Bear $59.53Fair Value $90.37Bull $117
$160 = current price (white tick)
ConocoPhillips
Bear $68.85Fair Value $91.79Bull $115
$126 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Exxon Mobil · Energy
Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside-43% · below median
ConocoPhillips · Energy
Quality score58 · above median
Fair value upside-27% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees ConocoPhillips as the less overvalued of the two: Exxon Mobil trades at $160 versus a fair value of $90.37 (-43%), while ConocoPhillips trades at $126 versus $91.79 (-27%).
ConocoPhillips has the higher quality score (58/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
