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STOCK COMPARISON

Exxon Mobil vs Shell PLC: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Shell PLC (SHEL) compare, as of Aug 13, 2026.

As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Shell PLC as the more attractively valued of the two: Exxon Mobil trades at $160 versus a fair value of $88.98 (-44%), while Shell PLC trades at $90.07 versus $90.12 (+0%).
Exxon Mobil
XOM · USD · Energy
-44%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$160
Fair Value$88.98
Quality56/100
Shell PLC
SHEL · USD · Energy
+0%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
Price$90.07
Fair Value$90.12
Quality63/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Exxon MobilShell PLC
Valuation
24.6×P/E (TTM)13.9×
1.86×P/S (TTM)0.88×
2.34×P/B1.34×
11.3×EV/EBITDA5.0×
1.20×PEG1.25×
2.8%Dividend yield1.8%
$4.04Dividend per share$1.48
Profitability
8%Net margin7%
6%Operating margin15%
10%Return on equity11%
4%Return on assets5%
Growth
3%Revenue growth (YoY)1%
-6.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-11.2%
12.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)8.1%
Balance & size
0.13×Debt / equity0.24×
$606BMarket cap$234B
mixedGrowth qualitymixed

Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Exxon Mobilof which business quality 57 · market factors 77 Shell PLCof which business quality 61 · market factors 73
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
43
38
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
33
39
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
51
58
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
77
59
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
60
91
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
88
91
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
64
60
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
87
76
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
77
100

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Exxon Mobil

DCF Models$83.38
Earnings-Based$76.97
Multiples$90.93
Asset-Based$41.93
Growth DCF$86.16
Economic Profit$62.60
Growth Earnings$77.86

22 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.

Shell PLC

DCF Models$101
Earnings-Based$58.81
Dividend Discount$35.06
Multiples$106
Asset-Based$42.16
Growth DCF$112
Economic Profit$63.62
Growth Earnings$69.47

9 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Exxon Mobil
Bear $59.15Fair Value $88.98Bull $117
$160 = current price (white tick)
Shell PLC
Bear $67.59Fair Value $90.12Bull $113
$90.07 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Exxon Mobil · Energy

Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside-44% · below median

Shell PLC · Energy

Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+0% · above median

Bottom line

As of Aug 13, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Shell PLC as the more attractively valued of the two: Exxon Mobil trades at $160 versus a fair value of $88.98 (-44%), while Shell PLC trades at $90.07 versus $90.12 (+0%).

Shell PLC has the higher quality score (63/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.