1615 (1615) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$234M

1 1615 1615 · HK

PriceHK$0.3800

Fair ValueHK$0.0700

Upside-81.6%

Quality75/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0500 – HK$0.0900

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 18 valuation models · updated today

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.2017 – HK$0.3897 · fair‑value band HK$0.0500 – HK$0.0900 · the HK$0.3800 price screens above the HK$0.0700 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1615 (1615) currently trades at HK$0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0700 — implying the stock looks roughly 81.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1615 generated revenue of HK$294M at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue declined 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$57.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$294M

Revenue growth (YoY) -17.0%

Net margin 0.7%

Return on equity 1.1%

Free cash flow HK$30.9M FY2025

EPS growth (YoY) -71.6%

More key figures

Net cash HK$57.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1615 reported revenue of HK$273M in FY2025 versus HK$353M in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.9M in FY2025.

Revenue −6.2%/yr

FY21 HK$353M

FY22 HK$155M

FY23 HK$141M

FY24 HK$182M

FY25 HK$273M

Net income

FY21 −HK$6.6M

FY22 HK$15.4M

FY23 −HK$10.3M

FY24 HK$9.4M

FY25 HK$1.9M

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Similar stocks

6 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LTOD	$0.4415	$0.5700	+29%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260	520,000 KRW	268,469 KRW	-48%
China State Construction Engineering Corporation 601668	¥4.65	¥17.35	+273%
TopBuild Corp BLD	7,547 MXN	324.01 MXN	-96%
000720 000720	115,100 KRW	64,227 KRW	-44%
United Integrated Services Co 2404	1,195 TWD	1,681 TWD	+41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1615 (1615) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0700 versus a price of HK$0.3800 — about −82% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1615?

Our model-based fair value for 1615 is HK$0.0700 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3800.

What is the quality score of 1615?

1615 has a Quality Score of 75/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1615 (1615)?

1615 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$294M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1615?

The net profit margin of 1615 is about 0.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.