2609 (2609) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · Market cap HK$4.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Share price −26.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$2.74 – HK$13.11 · fair‑value band HK$0.6600 – HK$0.7200 · the HK$3.63 price screens above the HK$0.6900 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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2609 (2609) currently trades at HK$3.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6900 — implying the stock looks roughly 81.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, 2609 generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of -1.2%. Revenue declined 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.6%. Net debt stands at HK$63.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
2609 reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$462M in FY2021, a compound +24.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$13.0M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc H1CA34 | R$97.60 | R$115.75 | +19% |
| Fresenius SE FSNUY | $11.27 | $8.25 | -27% |
| 5225 5225 | 8.70 MYR | 2.61 MYR | -70% |
| IHHHF IHHHF | $1.71 | $1.26 | -26% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $178.75 | $300.86 | +68% |
| Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 | R$33.83 | R$46.94 | +39% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.