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Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $16.8B

TH Tenet Healthcare Corporation logo Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC · US
Price$256.64
Fair Value$338.05
Upside+31.7%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: Medium Range $183.01 – $449.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $337.18 to $338.05 (+0.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +22.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 32% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($183.01 to $449.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$262.63 $37.50 Fair Value $338.05 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $37.50 – $262.63 · fair‑value band $183.01 – $449.20 · the $256.64 price screens below the $338.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) currently trades at $256.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $338.05, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tenet Healthcare Corporation generated revenue of $21.5B at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.3%. Net debt stands at $10.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $183.01 (bear case) to $449.20 (bull case); at $256.64, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 32%, THC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $206.30 $340.77 $525.80 80
Residual Income $110.16 $149.77 $1,050 76
Rev-Margin DCF $213.91 $399.83 $601.07 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $197.64 $343.49 $553.74 38
Owner Earnings $41.81 $115.77 $222.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit $213.91 $397.55 $625.31 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $270.19 $498.45 $755.34 41
5Y P/E Exit $132.97 $252.42 $371.31 38
10Y Revenue Exit $194.38 $357.82 $563.29 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $240.20 $426.31 $658.74 37
10Y P/E Exit $154.16 $259.30 $376.82 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $111.07 $274.07 $355.01 54
PEG = 1.0 $49.51 $70.73 $91.95 46
EPV $213.84 $269.23 $317.70 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $59.69 $109.93 $177.40 70
DDM Multi-Stage $59.69 $89.95 $122.89 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $245.02 $326.69 $408.36 63
P/S Multiple $208.26 $277.69 $347.11 58
P/B Multiple $110.23 $146.98 $183.72 55
EV/EBIT $420.46 $600.13 $779.79 53
EV/EBITDA $371.03 $534.22 $697.40 54
EV/Revenue $244.79 $400.50 $556.21 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.50 $32.82 $48.99 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $206.30 $340.77 $525.80 80
Rev-Margin DCF $213.91 $399.83 $601.07 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $110.16 $149.77 $1,050 76
ROIC Compounder $229.58 $310.43 $398.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $188.79 $269.70 $350.62 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($343.49) versus Asset-Based ($32.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $21.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.8%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 30.3%
Free cash flow $2.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.4
More key figures
Operating margin 17.9%
EPS (TTM) $19.24
EPS growth (YoY) +87.6%
Net debt $10.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tenet Healthcare Corporation operates as a diversified healthcare services company in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Hospital Operations and Services, and Ambulatory Care.

Full company description

Tenet Healthcare Corporation operates as a diversified healthcare services company in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Hospital Operations and Services, and Ambulatory Care. Its general hospitals offer acute care services, operating and recovery rooms, radiology and respiratory therapy services, clinical laboratories, and pharmacies. The company also provides intensive and critical care, and/or coronary care units; cardiovascular, digestive disease, neurosciences, musculoskeletal, and obstetrics services; outpatient services, including physical therapy; tertiary care services, such as cardiothoracic surgery, complex spinal surgery, neonatal intensive care, and neurosurgery services; pediatric quaternary care services through heart, liver, and kidney transplants programs; and limb salvaging vascular procedure, acute level 1 trauma, intravascular stroke care, minimally invasive cardiac valve replacement, imaging technology, surgical robotic, and telemedicine access services. In addition, it offers a range of procedures and services comprising orthopedics, total joint replacement, and spinal and other musculoskeletal procedures; gastroenterology; pain management; otolaryngology; ophthalmology; and urology. Further, the company operates acute care and specialty hospitals, off-campus emergency departments, imaging centers, urgent care centers, and micro-hospitals, as well as ambulatory surgery centers and surgical hospitals. Tenet Healthcare Corporation was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tenet Healthcare Corporation reported revenue of $21.3B in FY2025 versus $19.5B in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding +11.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$21.3B
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+5.1%
Revenue +2.3%/yr
FY21 $19.5B
FY22 $19.2B
FY23 $20.5B
FY24 $20.7B
FY25 $21.3B
Net income +11.4%/yr
FY21 $914M
FY22 $411M
FY23 $611M
FY24 $3.2B
FY25 $1.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tenet Healthcare Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 262 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +32% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Debt / equity 3.10× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 3.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.78× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 76 · sector 23
FUTURE 14 · sector 24
PAST 100 · sector 30
HEALTH 0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $378.85 $554.93 +46%
Fresenius SE FRE €41.73 €32.15 -23%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 235.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -52%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.76 SGD 1.28 SGD -54%
Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 R$36.01 R$47.31 +31%
DaVita Inc DVA $231.61 $255.97 +11%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,955 ₹2,955 -67%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS $24.68 $45.60 +85%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.68 ¥7.67 -12%
Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH ₹1,103 ₹284.87 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $338.05 versus a price of $256.64, about +32% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THC?
Our model-based fair value for Tenet Healthcare Corporation is $338.05 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $256.64.
What is the quality score of THC?
Tenet Healthcare Corporation has a Quality Score of 65/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC)?
Tenet Healthcare Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THC?
The net profit margin of Tenet Healthcare Corporation is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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