China First Heavy Industries (601106) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China First Heavy Industries stock ¥1.20, price ¥2.87, upside -58.2%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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China First Heavy Industries
601106 · SHGOur calculation puts a fair price 58% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.20 – ¥6.60 · fair‑value band ¥0.7600 – ¥1.72 · the ¥2.87 price screens above the ¥1.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Company profile
China First Heavy Industries manufactures and sells technical equipment in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
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The company offers nuclear power equipment; petrochemical equipment, such as coal liquefaction, and hydrogenation reactors, PTA and ethylene oxide reactor, oversized heat exchangers, coal gasifiers, etc.; metallurgical equipment, including continuous casting machine, converters and electric furnaces, cold and hot strip rolling mill, sectional beam, and long product rolling mill, shearing lines, plate levelers, slab sizing presses, and coilers, etc.; forging equipment comprising mechanical, hot die forging, stretch levelers, and large hydraulic presses; and engineering equipment, such as mining excavators, shield tunneling machines, plate bending, and roller mills.
It also provides spare parts and special tolls; design service; product transportation and insurance service; technical guidance and training service; product installation and debugging services; after-sale maintenance services; and warehouse and storage services.
In addition, the company engages in heavy equipment technology development; manufacturing of electrical products; glass fiber and product; and wind power services.
Further, the company offers material technology research and development, and promotion services; import and export services; technical development, consultation, and exchange services, technology transfer and promotion services; international marketing business; and manufacture and sale of concrete structural, and technical services.
It serves nuclear power, petrochemicals, hydrogenation, metallurgy sectors China First Heavy Industries was formerly known as First Heavy Machinery Works. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Qiqihar, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
China First Heavy Industries (601106) currently trades at ¥2.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.20, 58.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥1.20 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥2.87 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.2900, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.7600 (bear) to ¥1.72 (bull), the price of ¥2.87 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
China First Heavy Industries reported revenue of 9.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 23.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −19.3%/yr. Reported net income was −311M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 19.7B CNY (≈ $3.0B) Mid · P/S ratio 2.14 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0300 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −2.2% · Return on equity −1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.1% · Operating margin 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −58%, 601106 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 10 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
601106 screens overvalued: fair value 58% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Compare China First Heavy Industries with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cummins Inc CMI | $522.13 | $359.16 | −31% | vs 601106 |
| SIE SIE | €261.40 | €149.56 | −43% | vs 601106 |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $275.93 | $153.97 | −44% | vs 601106 |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 353.30 | kr 194.33 | −45% | vs 601106 |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $904.43 | $495.17 | −45% | vs 601106 |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $242.81 | $125.77 | −48% | vs 601106 |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $371.92 | $174.39 | −53% | vs 601106 |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $161.70 | $62.85 | −61% | vs 601106 |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $429.89 | $140.20 | −67% | vs 601106 |
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $855.12 | $142.61 | −83% | vs 601106 |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of China First Heavy Industries
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