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GE Vernova Inc (GEV) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $284B

GV GE Vernova Inc logo GE Vernova Inc GEV · US
Price$1,000
Fair Value$131.95
Upside-86.8%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 23.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.14% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $95.47 – $171.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −7.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 87% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($171.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$1,175 $122.18 Fair Value $131.95 Mar 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

28‑month range $122.18 – $1,175 · fair‑value band $95.47 – $171.54 · the $1,000 price screens above the $131.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

GE Vernova Inc (GEV) currently trades at $1,000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $131.95, implying the stock looks roughly 86.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, GE Vernova Inc generated revenue of $39.4B at a net margin of 23.8%. Revenue grew 16.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 75.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $8.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $95.47 (bear case) to $171.54 (bull case); at $1,000, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -87%, GEV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $203.11 $296.12 $437.98 80
Residual Income $177.50 $323.08 $7,586 76
Rev-Margin DCF $117.77 $153.97 $197.12 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $200.11 $305.59 $477.46 38
Owner Earnings $234.05 $360.82 $567.38 31
5Y Revenue Exit $117.77 $151.95 $193.49 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $136.32 $187.11 $245.26 41
5Y P/E Exit $250.98 $404.47 $567.83 38
10Y Revenue Exit $143.17 $182.04 $231.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $156.85 $207.20 $272.20 37
10Y P/E Exit $232.01 $362.71 $527.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $123.59 $409.09 $547.32 54
Lynch FV $92.37 $131.95 $171.54 50
PEG = 1.0 $92.37 $131.95 $171.54 46
EPV $78.43 $86.63 $93.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.84 $21.49 $36.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.84 $17.08 $22.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $272.63 $363.50 $454.38 63
P/S Multiple $231.73 $308.98 $386.22 58
P/B Multiple $93.59 $124.79 $155.99 55
EV/EBIT $101.67 $124.91 $148.16 53
EV/EBITDA $113.25 $140.35 $167.46 54
EV/Revenue $78.94 $99.09 $119.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.80 $27.87 $41.60 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $203.11 $296.12 $437.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF $117.77 $153.97 $197.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $177.50 $323.08 $7,586 76
ROIC Compounder $81.02 $92.89 $105.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $231.69 $330.98 $430.28 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($330.98) versus Dividend Discount ($17.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $39.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.3%
Net margin 23.8%
Return on equity 75.7%
Free cash flow $3.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 31.0
More key figures
Operating margin 5.5%
EPS (TTM) $34.17
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +1,817%
Net cash $8.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GE Vernova Inc., an energy company, engages in the provision of various products and services that generate, transfer, orchestrate, convert, and store electricity in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through three segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification.

Full company description

GE Vernova Inc., an energy company, engages in the provision of various products and services that generate, transfer, orchestrate, convert, and store electricity in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through three segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification. The Power segment designs, manufactures, and services gas, nuclear, hydro, and steam technologies. It serves industrial, government, and other customers. The Wind segment offers wind generation technologies, including onshore and offshore wind turbines and blades. The Electrification segment provides grid solutions; power conversion; electrification software; and solar and storage solutions technologies required for the transmission, distribution, conversion, storage, and orchestration of electricity from point of generation to point of consumption. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GE Vernova Inc reported revenue of $38.1B in FY2025 versus $33.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $4.9B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$38.1B
Latest YoY
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.7%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 $33.0B
FY22 $29.7B
FY23 $33.2B
FY24 $34.9B
FY25 $38.1B
Net income
FY21 −$633M
FY22 −$2.7B
FY23 −$438M
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $4.9B

GEV screens 87% overvalued. Compare with 1SIE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GE Vernova Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEV

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 76% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 25.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 76.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 80.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.82× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 82 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

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Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
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NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%
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Frequently asked questions

Is GE Vernova Inc (GEV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $131.95 versus a price of $1,000, about −87% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GEV?
Our model-based fair value for GE Vernova Inc is $131.95 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1,000.
What is the quality score of GEV?
GE Vernova Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GE Vernova Inc (GEV)?
GE Vernova Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $39.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GEV?
The net profit margin of GE Vernova Inc is about 23.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does GE Vernova Inc pay a dividend?
GE Vernova Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.15% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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