GE Vernova Inc (GEV) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $284B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −7.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($171.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range $122.18 – $1,175 · fair‑value band $95.47 – $171.54 · the $1,000 price screens above the $131.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
GE Vernova Inc (GEV) currently trades at $1,000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $131.95, implying the stock looks roughly 86.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GE Vernova Inc generated revenue of $39.4B at a net margin of 23.8%. Revenue grew 16.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 75.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $8.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $95.47 (bear case) to $171.54 (bull case); at $1,000, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -87%, GEV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($330.98) versus Dividend Discount ($17.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GE Vernova Inc., an energy company, engages in the provision of various products and services that generate, transfer, orchestrate, convert, and store electricity in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through three segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification.
Full company description
GE Vernova Inc., an energy company, engages in the provision of various products and services that generate, transfer, orchestrate, convert, and store electricity in the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through three segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification. The Power segment designs, manufactures, and services gas, nuclear, hydro, and steam technologies. It serves industrial, government, and other customers. The Wind segment offers wind generation technologies, including onshore and offshore wind turbines and blades. The Electrification segment provides grid solutions; power conversion; electrification software; and solar and storage solutions technologies required for the transmission, distribution, conversion, storage, and orchestration of electricity from point of generation to point of consumption. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GE Vernova Inc reported revenue of $38.1B in FY2025 versus $33.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $4.9B in FY2025.
GEV screens 87% overvalued. Compare with 1SIE →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Better Small Modular Reactor Stock: NuScale Power vs. GE Vernova
- How AI-Driven Power Demand and Wind Cost Pressures At GE Vernova (GEV) Has Changed Its Investment Story
- Exploring Unmatched Scale of GE Vernova (GEV)
- $5,000 in GE Vernova at Its 2024 Low Would Be Worth This Much Now
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
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| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
| Alfa Laval AB ALFA | kr 564.60 | kr 372.32 | -34% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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