6838 (6838) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$146M
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$0.1820 – HK$0.2950 · fair‑value band HK$0.9200 – HK$1.54 · the HK$0.2430 price screens below the HK$1.21 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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6838 (6838) currently trades at HK$0.2430, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.21 — implying the stock looks roughly 397.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, 6838 generated revenue of HK$533M at a net margin of -11.5%. Revenue declined 41.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$105M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
6838 reported revenue of HK$533M in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound −21.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$61.5M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
6 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, LVMUY | $110.06 | $106.54 | -3% |
| Hermès International Société en commandite par actions HESAY | $184.96 | $105.66 | -43% |
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFRHF | $225.92 | $143.35 | -37% |
| Christian Dior SE CHDRY | $129.80 | $151.76 | +17% |
| Titan Company TITAN | ₹4,042 | ₹1,546 | -62% |
| Kering SA PPRUF | $318.73 | $86.66 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.