Formosa Pharmaceuticals, Inc (6838) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · TW · Market cap 3.5B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −3.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (7.46 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (3.94 TWD to 7.46 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range 21.55 TWD – 68.60 TWD · fair‑value band 3.94 TWD – 7.46 TWD · the 23.35 TWD price screens above the 5.97 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Formosa Pharmaceuticals, Inc (6838) currently trades at 23.35 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.97 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 74.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 54.3M TWD. It earns a return on equity of -3.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3.94 TWD (bear case) to 7.46 TWD (bull case); at 23.35 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -74%, 6838 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Formosa Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing drug candidates for ophthalmology, oncology, and anti-infectives in Taiwan. It is involved in developing TSY-110, an antibody-drug conjugate; and TSY-0210, an antibiotic for drug resistant infections.
Full company description
Formosa Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing drug candidates for ophthalmology, oncology, and anti-infectives in Taiwan. It is involved in developing TSY-110, an antibody-drug conjugate; and TSY-0210, an antibiotic for drug resistant infections. The company also develops APP13002 to treat infectious eye diseases, such as conjunctivitis, keratitis, blepharitis, and meibomian gland dysfunction; and MPT0E028, a novel pan- histone deacetylase inhibitor for solid tumors, such as hepatomas and colorectal cancer. It has a strategic partnership with Eyenovia, Inc. for the development of novel ophthalmic therapeutic; and Singapore Eye Research Institute to develop ophthalmic formulations for corneal diseases. Formosa Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Formosa Pharmaceuticals, Inc reported revenue of 9.5M TWD in FY2025 versus 28.5M TWD in FY2021, a compound −24.0%/yr. Reported net income was −83.6M TWD in FY2025.
6838 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 601 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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