Hermes International SA (HESAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hermes International SA $171, price $146, upside +16.5%, quality 79 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $97.99 – $292.28 · fair‑value band $120.25 – $208.97 · the $146.47 price screens below the $170.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
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Hermès International engages in the production, wholesale, and retail of various goods.
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Hermès International engages in the production, wholesale, and retail of various goods. The company offers leather goods and saddlery, such as bags for men and women, travel articles, small leather goods and accessories, saddles, bridles, and various equestrian products and clothing; ready-to-wear garments for men and women; and accessories, including jewelry, belts, hats, gloves, internet of things products, and shoes. It also provides silk and textiles for men and women; art of living and tableware products; beauty and perfume products; and watches. In addition, the company is involved in weaving, engraving, printing, dyeing, finishing, and producing textiles; purchasing, tanning, dyeing, finishing, and selling tanneries and precious leathers; and creating and producing of metal parts. It sells its products through a network of stores in France, rest of Europe, Japan, the Asia Pacific, the Americas, and the Middle East, as well as sells watches, perfumes, and tableware through a network of specialized stores. The company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Paris, France. Hermès International is a subsidiary of H51 SAS.
Stock analysis
Hermes International SA (HESAY) currently trades at $146.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $170.62, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $130.47 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the $146.47 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $39.02, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $120.25 (bear) to $208.97 (bull), the price of $146.47 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hermes International SA reported revenue of €16.0B in FY2025 versus €9.0B in FY2021, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was €4.5B in FY2025, compounding +16.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $212B · P/E ratio 29.3 · P/S ratio 8.28 · EPS (TTM) $5.00 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 28.3% · Return on equity 25.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 74 out of 100 (high confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 16%, HESAY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $120.25Fair Value $170.62Bull $208.97
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.7% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+25.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.24.2% vs 16.6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 40%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.4% a year for the price and +5.1% for the forecasts.
Compare Hermes International SA with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 122 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)25.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets17.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)28.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)41.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hermes International SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HESAY
Frequently asked questions
Is Hermes International SA (HESAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $170.62 versus a price of $146.47, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HESAY?
Our model-based fair value for Hermes International SA is $170.62 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $146.47.
What is the quality score of HESAY?
Hermes International SA has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $170.62 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $120.25, optimistic scenario $208.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hermes International SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $170.62, about +16% upside versus a price of $146.47 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $120.25, optimistic scenario $208.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
Hermes International SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €16.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Hermes International SA pay a dividend?
Hermes International SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hermes International SA would have to grow free cash flow by +13.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.2 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HESAY use?
Our models discount Hermes International SA at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hermes International SA that is +13.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hermes International SA (HESAY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hermes International SA grew +20.2 % a year. The price currently implies +13.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hermes International SA (HESAY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hermes International SA (+13.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.10 %: that much free cash flow Hermes International SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hermes International SA it is $170.62 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $146.47. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hermes International SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, HESAY trades below its calculated fair value: price $146.47, fair value $170.62, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HESAY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($146.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($170.62). For Hermes International SA the two are $24.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hermes International SA worth?
The market values Hermes International SA at about $212B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $146.47; our models calculate a fair value of $170.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HESAY?
Our models span a range for Hermes International SA: cautious scenario $120.25, base $170.62, optimistic $208.97 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $146.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HESAY?
Hermes International SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.3 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $170.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.0, P/B 10.0, P/S 11.8, EV/EBITDA 25.0.
What is the PEG ratio of HESAY?
The PEG ratio of Hermes International SA is 4.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hermes International SA (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 25.2%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 79/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HESAY from its 52-week high?
Hermes International SA trades at $146.47, about 43% below its 52-week high of $258.57 and 1% above the low of $144.81 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $170.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hermes International SA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hermes International SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $146.47, calculated fair value $170.62 (+16%), Quality Score 79/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HESAY calculated?
We run Hermes International SA through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $170.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hermes International SA currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $146.47. Our model-based fair value is $170.62, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hermes International SA right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Hermes International SA (HESAY) come from?
Earnings per share at Hermes International SA grew +18.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.6 %, EBIT margin +2.7 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hermes International SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
The market capitalisation of Hermes International SA is $212B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hermes International SA is 8.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
Earnings per share at Hermes International SA are $5.00 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
The dividend yield of Hermes International SA is 1.0% (payout 30.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
The net margin of Hermes International SA is 28.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hermes International SA is 25.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hermes International SA is 26.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
The operating margin of Hermes International SA is 41.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
Revenue at Hermes International SA is growing +3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hermes International SA (HESAY)?
Earnings per share at Hermes International SA are growing +1.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hermes International SA (HESAY) hold?
Hermes International SA holds more cash than debt, €9.9B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 29, 2026