81299 (81299) Fair Value & Analysis

· Market cap HK$935B

8 81299 81299 · HK

PriceHK$62.50

Fair ValueHK$7.10

Upside-88.6%

Quality61/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$4.83 – HK$10.02

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$56.72 – HK$79.42 · fair‑value band HK$4.83 – HK$10.02 · the HK$62.50 price screens above the HK$7.10 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

81299 (81299) currently trades at HK$62.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.10 — implying the stock looks roughly 88.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality). Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 81299 generated revenue of HK$26.2B at a net margin of 23.8%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.9%. Net debt stands at HK$11.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$26.2B

Revenue growth (YoY) +6.0%

Net margin 23.8%

Return on equity 14.9%

Free cash flow HK$5.1B FY2025

Operating margin 31.4%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$0.2400

Dividend yield 0.4%

EPS growth (YoY) +9.4%

Net debt HK$11.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

81299 reported revenue of HK$32.6B in FY2025 versus HK$46.9B in FY2021, a compound −8.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$6.2B in FY2025, compounding −4.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −8.7%/yr

FY21 HK$46.9B

FY22 −HK$25.0B

FY23 HK$20.0B

FY24 HK$20.4B

FY25 HK$32.6B

Net income −4.2%/yr

FY21 HK$7.4B

FY22 HK$3.3B

FY23 HK$3.8B

FY24 HK$6.8B

FY25 HK$6.2B

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Frequently asked questions

Is 81299 (81299) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.10 versus a price of HK$62.50 — about −89% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 81299?

Our model-based fair value for 81299 is HK$7.10 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$62.50.

What is the quality score of 81299?

81299 has a Quality Score of 61/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 81299 (81299)?

81299 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$26.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 81299?

The net profit margin of 81299 is about 23.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 81299 pay a dividend?

81299 currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.