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Ascentage Pharma Group (ASPHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.7B

Price$4.53
Fair Value$2.35
Upside-48.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.76 – $2.94

Analysis

Ascentage Pharma Group (ASPHF) currently trades at $4.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.35 — implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Ascentage Pharma Group International, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops therapies for cancers, chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV), and age-related diseases in Mainland China. The company's primary product candidate is HQP1351, a BCR-ABL inhibitor targeting BCR-ABL1 mutants, including those with the T315I mutation. It also develops APG-2575, an oral administered Bcl-2 selective inhibitor for hematologic malignancies and solid tumors; APG-115, an oral small molecule inhibitor of the MDM2-p53 protein-protein interactions to treat solid tumors and hematological malignancies; and APG-1252, a small molecule drug to restore apoptosis through dual inhibition of the Bcl-2 and Bcl-xL proteins for the treatment of small-cell lung cancer, non-small cell lung cancer, neuroendocrine tumor, and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. In addition, the company is developing APG-1387, a small-molecule inhibitor of apoptosis proteins for advanced solid tumors and chronic HBV infection; APG-5918, an orally…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.