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United Community Banks, Inc (UCB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $4.4B

UC United Community Banks, Inc logo United Community Banks, Inc UCB · US
Price$35.70
Fair Value$35.62
Upside-0.2%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 32.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.75% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range $26.72 – $44.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $35.64 to $35.62 (−0.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$37.09 $18.94 Fair Value $35.62 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.94 – $37.09 · fair‑value band $26.72 – $44.53 · the $35.70 price screens above the $35.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

United Community Banks, Inc (UCB) currently trades at $35.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.62, implying the stock looks roughly 0.2% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, United Community Banks, Inc generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 32.5%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at $2.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.72 (bear case) to $44.53 (bull case); at $35.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 0%, UCB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $40.73 $66.62 $107.11 80
Residual Income $25.65 $27.86 $35.02 76
Rev-Margin DCF $28.82 $45.61 $66.71 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $40.85 $68.71 $113.59 38
Owner Earnings $34.82 $58.50 $96.65 31
5Y Revenue Exit $28.82 $45.60 $67.48 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $37.25 $62.50 $93.29 41
5Y P/E Exit $39.03 $66.07 $96.13 38
10Y Revenue Exit $32.02 $48.87 $72.92 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $38.14 $60.79 $93.47 37
10Y P/E Exit $39.28 $63.30 $95.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $18.63 $78.23 $106.73 54
Lynch FV $19.85 $28.36 $36.87 50
PEG = 1.0 $19.85 $28.36 $36.87 46
EPV $25.59 $29.52 $32.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.04 $18.01 $27.27 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.04 $15.56 $19.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $41.10 $54.80 $68.50 63
P/S Multiple $24.06 $32.08 $40.11 58
P/B Multiple $34.94 $46.58 $58.23 55
EV/EBIT $48.30 $64.18 $80.05 53
EV/EBITDA $38.82 $51.53 $64.24 54
EV/Revenue $23.15 $32.77 $42.40 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.19 $20.36 $30.38 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $40.73 $66.62 $107.11 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.82 $45.61 $66.71 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $25.65 $27.86 $35.02 76
ROIC Compounder $25.59 $29.52 $36.44 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $32.81 $46.88 $60.94 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($60.79) versus Dividend Discount ($15.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.4%
Net margin 32.5%
Return on equity 9.5%
Free cash flow $408M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.2
More key figures
Operating margin 45.7%
EPS (TTM) $2.81
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.3%
Net debt $2.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

United Community Banks, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for United Community Bank that provides financial services in the United States. The company offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and other deposit accounts.

Full company description

United Community Banks, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for United Community Bank that provides financial services in the United States. The company offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and other deposit accounts. It also provides loans comprising owner occupied and income producing CRE, commercial and industrial, equipment financing, residential mortgage, home equity, manufactured housing, and consumer loans, as well as commercial and residential construction and land. In addition, the company offers private banking, investment management, investment advice, financial planning services, estate and retirement planning, and insurance products; non-deposit investment products and insurance products, such as life insurance, long-term care insurance and tax-deferred annuities; and trust services to manage fiduciary assets. Further, it provides reinsurance on property insurance contracts and payment processing services for commercial and small business customers. The company serves the commercial, retail, government, education, energy, health care, and real estate sectors. United Community Banks, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Greenville, South Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

United Community Banks, Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $716M in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was $328M in FY2025, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.2%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+13.6%
Revenue +21.0%/yr
FY21 $716M
FY22 $929M
FY23 $1.3B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income +5.0%/yr
FY21 $270M
FY22 $277M
FY23 $188M
FY24 $252M
FY25 $328M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United Community Banks, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UCB

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Below median
Fair Value upside −0% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 46% · Above median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.22× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.24× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.67× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 39
FUTURE 72 · sector 44
PAST 38 · sector 41
HEALTH 98 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 55 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is United Community Banks, Inc (UCB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.62 versus a price of $35.70, about −0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of UCB?
Our model-based fair value for United Community Banks, Inc is $35.62 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $35.70.
What is the quality score of UCB?
United Community Banks, Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of United Community Banks, Inc (UCB)?
United Community Banks, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UCB?
The net profit margin of United Community Banks, Inc is about 32.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does United Community Banks, Inc pay a dividend?
United Community Banks, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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