Billerud AB (BILL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SE · Market cap 15.6B SEK
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from kr 46.05 to kr 48.60 (+5.5%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range kr 56.92 – kr 92.59 · fair‑value band kr 36.45 – kr 60.75 · the kr 60.75 price screens above the kr 48.60 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Billerud AB (BILL) currently trades at kr 60.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 48.60 — implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Billerud AB generated revenue of 39.3B SEK at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue declined 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. Net debt stands at 6.1B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Billerud AB (publ) provides paper and packaging materials worldwide. It operates through Region Europe, Region North America, and Other segments. The company offers liquid packaging board, containerboard, cartonboard, and sack paper; kraft paper bags; specialty and formable paper; graphic and label papers comprising coated sheets, web papers, WC Caliper web, coated digital, and inkjet papers; and hardwood and softwood pulp, which are used to produce packaging for food and beverages, industrial, medical and hygiene, and consumer and luxury goods. It also procures and supplies wood. The company serves packaging and paper manufacturers, printers, publishers, converters, and distribution partners. The company was formerly known as BillerudKorsnäs AB (publ) and changed its name to Billerud AB (publ) in October 2022. Billerud AB (publ) was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Solna, Sweden.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Billerud AB reported revenue of kr 40.5B in FY2025 versus kr 26.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was kr 711M in FY2025, compounding −16.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
6 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$16.93 | R$3.33 | -80% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPMKF | $29.33 | $17.60 | -40% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.74 | R$19.19 | -54% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 100.20 | kr 49.40 | -51% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥12.75 | ¥17.29 | +36% |
| Holmen AB HLMMF | $35.72 | $32.71 | -8% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.