CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. ₹40.05, price ₹102, upside -60.5%, quality 76 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹62.76 – ₹148.90 · fair‑value band ₹29.54 – ₹50.50 · the ₹101.50 price screens above the ₹40.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA) currently trades at ₹101.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹40.05, 60.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹55.25 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ₹101.50 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹15.99, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹29.54 (bear) to ₹50.50 (bull), the price of ₹101.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Goods sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. reported revenue of ₹47.7M in FY2025 versus ₹26.1M in FY2021, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹7.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹409M (≈ $4.2M) · P/E ratio 61.1 · P/S ratio 9.94 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.66 · Net margin 16.3% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% · Operating margin 12.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Goods peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −61%, CHORDIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹29.54Fair Value ₹40.05Bull ₹50.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.26 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+51.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−42.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−5.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 21%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 35.6%/yr over ~7Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.2% a year for the price.
Compare CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Food - Major Diversified” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Staples · 1707 stocks
Beats the sector median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−60.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.0% · Below median
Return on assets3.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)14.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.5% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Staples median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)61.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.58× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)8.57× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF19.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA21.1× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)3· sector 14
PAST (return on equity)20· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹40.05 versus a price of ₹101.50, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHORDIA?
Our model-based fair value for CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. is ₹40.05 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹101.50.
What is the quality score of CHORDIA?
CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹40.05 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹29.54, optimistic scenario ₹50.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹40.05, about −61% upside versus a price of ₹101.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹29.54, optimistic scenario ₹50.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹47.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by +10.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -42.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CHORDIA use?
Our models discount CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. that is +10.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. grew -42.8 % a year. The price currently implies +10.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.24 %: that much free cash flow CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. it is ₹40.05 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹101.50. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CHORDIA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹101.50, fair value ₹40.05, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHORDIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹101.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹40.05). For CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. the two are ₹61.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. worth?
The market values CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. at about ₹409M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹101.50; our models calculate a fair value of ₹40.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHORDIA?
Our models span a range for CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹29.54, base ₹40.05, optimistic ₹50.50 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹101.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHORDIA?
CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 61.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹40.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 8.6, EV/EBITDA 21.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 5.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 76/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHORDIA from its 52-week high?
CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. trades at ₹101.50, about 9% below its 52-week high of ₹111.54 and 57% above the low of ₹64.65 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹40.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Goods) we also value Flex Foods Limited, MAHAANF, Prima Agro Limited, HALDYNGL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹101.50, calculated fair value ₹40.05 (−61%), Quality Score 76/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHORDIA calculated?
We run CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹40.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹101.50. Our model-based fair value is ₹40.05, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹50.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Key figures of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
The market capitalisation of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. is ₹409M (≈ $4.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. is 9.94 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
Earnings per share at CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. are ₹1.66 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 61.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
The net margin of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. is 16.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
The operating margin of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
Revenue at CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. is growing +0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA)?
Earnings per share at CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. are growing −51.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. (CHORDIA) carry?
The net debt of CHORDIA FOOD PRODUCTS LTD. is ₹8.0M (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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