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Capita plc (CPI) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap £479M

CP Capita plc CPI · LSE
Price£3.02
Fair Value£1.78
Upside-41.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range £1.34 – £2.23

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −27.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

£4.24 £2.39 Fair Value £1.78 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range £2.39 – £4.24 · fair‑value band £1.34 – £2.23 · the £3.02 price screens above the £1.78 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Capita plc (CPI) currently trades at £3.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.78 — implying the stock looks roughly 41.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Capita plc generated revenue of £2.3B at a net margin of -7.1%. Revenue declined 2.7% year over year. Net debt stands at £193M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) £2.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.7%
Net margin -7.1%
Return on equity -139%
Free cash flow −£4.8M FY2025
Operating margin 10.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) £-1.44
EPS growth (YoY) -93.2%
Net debt £193M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Capita plc operates as an outsourcer that supports clients across the public and private sectors in the United Kingdom, India, South Africa, and the rest of Europe. It operates through two divisions: Capita Public Service and Capita Experience. The company offers central government services, including intelligent automation; citizen experience; customer communications and digital services; operations, and transformation; learning and development; procurement; and public services procurement framework services. It also provides local government services, such as building resilient; digital operations; financial transformation; housing; local education authority software; planning, building control, and regulatory; property asset; and revenue and benefits services. In addition, the company offers customer journey mapping, behavioral science, and data and insight services; AI solutions; defense training and people development, data transformation and science, and AI services for defens…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Capita plc reported revenue of £2.2B in FY2025 versus £3.2B in FY2021, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was −£164M in FY2025.

Revenue −8.9%/yr
FY21 £3.2B
FY22 £3.0B
FY23 £2.8B
FY24 £2.4B
FY25 £2.2B
Net income
FY21 £225M
FY22 £74.8M
FY23 −£178M
FY24 £76.7M
FY25 −£164M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Capita plc (CPI) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.78 versus a price of £3.02 — about −41% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CPI?
Our 21-model fair value for Capita plc is £1.78 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £3.02.
What is the quality score of CPI?
Capita plc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Capita plc (CPI)?
Capita plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £2.3B (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CPI?
The net profit margin of Capita plc is about -7.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.