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Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $10.7M

CR Chicago Rivet & Machine Co logo Chicago Rivet & Machine Co CVR · US
Price$10.03
Fair Value$1.30
Upside-87.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.18 – $1.48

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 25, 2026 — revised from $87.72 to $1.30 (−98.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$14.23 $8.43 Fair Value $1.30 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $8.43 – $14.23 · fair‑value band $1.18 – $1.48 · the $10.03 price screens above the $1.30 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) currently trades at $10.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.30 — implying the stock looks roughly 87.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co generated revenue of $27.5M at a net margin of -6.7%. Revenue declined 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.5%. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $27.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.4%
Net margin -6.7%
Return on equity -9.5%
Free cash flow −$1.6M FY2025
Operating margin -5.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.91
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +1,973%
Net cash $797K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. operates in the fastener industry in North America. It operates through Fasteners and Assembly Equipment. The Fastener segment manufactures and sells rivets, cold-formed fasteners and parts, and screw machine products. The Assembly Equipment segment engages in the manufacture and sale of automatic rivet setting machines, as well as parts and tools for related machines. It sells its products to automotive industry through independent sales representatives. The company was founded in 1920 and is based in Warrenville, Illinois.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co reported revenue of $27.9M in FY2025 versus $34.0M in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.1M in FY2025.

Revenue −4.8%/yr
FY21 $34.0M
FY22 $33.6M
FY23 $31.5M
FY24 $27.0M
FY25 $27.9M
Net income
FY21 $1.1M
FY22 $2.9M
FY23 −$4.4M
FY24 −$5.6M
FY25 −$1.1M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.30 versus a price of $10.03 — about −87% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CVR?
Our 21-model fair value for Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is $1.30 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.03.
What is the quality score of CVR?
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR)?
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.5M (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CVR?
The net profit margin of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is about -6.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chicago Rivet & Machine Co pay a dividend?
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.