Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc stock $160, price $272, that is 41.3% below the price, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $112.94 – $297.02 · fair‑value band $101.13 – $224.50 · the $272.13 price screens above the $159.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells welding, cutting, and brazing products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Americas Welding, International Welding, and The Harris Products Group.
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The company offers brazing and soldering filler metals, arc welding equipment, plasma and oxyfuel cutting systems, wire feeding systems, fume control equipment, welding accessories, specialty gas regulators, and education solutions; and a portfolio of automated solutions and system integration services for joining, cutting, material handling, module assembly, and end of line testing, as well as involved in brazing and soldering alloys, and in the retail business.
It also provides mobile power solutions, including vehicle-mounted compressors, generators, welders, hydraulics, charger/boosters, and electrified power equipment; automated welding system and solutions; and specialty welding consumables, wear plates, and maintenance and repair services for alloy and wear-resistant products, as well as develops and integrates autonomous guided vehicles and mobile robots, custom assembly and test systems, and proprietary manufacturing execution system software.
The company serves general fabrication, oil and gas, power generation, process, automotive and transportation, and construction and infrastructure industries, as well as heavy fabrication, ship building, and maintenance and repair markets.
It sells its products directly to users of welding products, including OEMs, manufacturers, and integrators, as well as through industrial distributors, retailers, and agents. Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.
Stock analysis
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) currently trades at $272.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $159.78, 41% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $172.69 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $272.13 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $41.29, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $101.13 (bear) to $224.50 (bull), the price of $272.13 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc reported revenue of $4.2B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $521M in FY2025, compounding +17.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $15.0B Large · P/E ratio 26.1 · P/S ratio 3.23 · EPS (TTM) $10.43 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 12.4% · Return on equity 38.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 74 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −41%, LECO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$101.13Fair Value $159.78Bull$224.50
Price $272.13 · Downside -41.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($6.17 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
SaleGabriel BrunoEVP, CFO & TREASURER17,473 shares at $286.29$5.0MMar 2, 2026
SaleJennifer I AnsberryEVP, GENERAL COUNSEL & SECY10,657 shares at $288.85$3.1MFeb 17, 2026
Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15.1% vs 12.3%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 17%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.4% a year for the price and +4.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Moderate moat supported by strength in margins and cash metrics, yet thin evidence across other areas and insufficient data overall.
Main risk: Legacy asbestos-containing welding rods could lead to further claims and payouts that reduce profitability and tie up resources for years ahead.
Bull case: By defending or settling legacy claims efficiently and accelerating its Physical AI automation offerings the company could limit litigation costs while expanding its addressable market among smaller fabricators.
Bear case: Sustained or rising asbestos payouts combined with sustained price pressure from rivals could constrain cash flow and slow investment in new automation platforms.
Lincoln Electric is pushing hard into automation and AI-enabled welding solutions with record backlogs, while demand stays solid in the Americas and Asia. Inflation still requires ongoing price adjustments and Europe plus automotive remain softer. Our models see the stock as overvalued. Will the automation shift expand margins faster than regional softness and cost pressures can hold them back?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 128 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−41.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)38.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets13.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)12.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)18.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)15.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.78× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)26.1× · Pricier than median
P/B10.20× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.23× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow28.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA17.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.58× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)76· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)61· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)23· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LECO
Frequently asked questions
Is Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $159.78 versus a price of $272.13, about 41% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LECO?
Our model-based fair value for Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is $159.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $272.13.
What is the quality score of LECO?
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $159.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $101.13, optimistic scenario $224.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $159.78, about 41% lower versus a price of $272.13 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $101.13, optimistic scenario $224.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 1.16% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +17.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.8 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LECO use?
Our models discount Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.22, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc that is +17.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc grew +9.8 % a year. The price currently implies +17.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (+17.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.56 %: that much free cash flow Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc it is $159.78 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $272.13. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, LECO trades above its calculated fair value: price $272.13, fair value $159.78, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LECO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($272.13); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($159.78). For Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc the two are $112.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc at about $15.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $272.13; our models calculate a fair value of $159.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LECO?
Our models span a range for Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $101.13, base $159.78, optimistic $224.50 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $272.13). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LECO?
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.1 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $159.78 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 23.9. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 10.2, P/S 3.2, EV/EBITDA 17.6.
What is the PEG ratio of LECO?
The PEG ratio of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is 1.58 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 38.8%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LECO from its 52-week high?
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc trades at $272.13, about 8% below its 52-week high of $297.02 and 25% above the low of $218.56 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $159.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $272.13, calculated fair value $159.78 (−41%), Quality Score 72/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LECO calculated?
We run Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $159.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $272.13. Our model-based fair value is $159.78, about 41% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($224.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (72/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($101.13 to $224.50) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) come from?
Earnings per share at Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc grew +14.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.7 %, EBIT margin +4.6 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
The market capitalisation of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is $15.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is 3.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
Earnings per share at Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc are $10.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
The dividend yield of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is 1.2% (payout 30.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
The net margin of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is 12.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is 38.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is 19.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
The operating margin of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is 18.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
Revenue at Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is growing +15.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO)?
Earnings per share at Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc are growing +19.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc (LECO) carry?
The net debt of Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc is $985M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 6, 2026