Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Cavalier Resources Ltd A$0.34, price A$0.23, upside +47.8%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Cavalier Resources Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0009 – A$0.4400 · fair‑value band A$0.2550 – A$0.4250 · the A$0.2300 price screens below the A$0.3400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Cavalier Resources in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Cavalier Resources is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Cavalier Resources Ltd engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for gold, lithium, and nickel deposits. Its flagship project is the Crawford Gold Project located in the east of Leonora. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR) currently trades at A$0.2300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 32.4% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$1.09 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the A$0.2300 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0400, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.2550 (bear) to A$0.4250 (bull), the price of A$0.2300 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Cavalier Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$53.5K in FY2024 versus A$0 in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$525K in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap A$26.4M (≈ $18.5M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −13.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.6% · Operating margin −4,894% · Revenue growth (YoY) −74.9% · Free cash flow −A$1.4M · Net cash A$655K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 48%, CVR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.2550Fair Value A$0.3400Bull A$0.4250
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+280.7%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.3%
’12
’13
’21
’22
’24
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−118.3% (2012) → −1,380.6% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Below median
Fair Value upside+48% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−75% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.3400 versus a price of A$0.2300, about +48% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CVR?
Our model-based fair value for Cavalier Resources Ltd is A$0.3400 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2300.
What is the quality score of CVR?
Cavalier Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.3400 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.2550, optimistic scenario A$0.4250. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cavalier Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.3400, about +48% upside versus a price of A$0.2300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.2550, optimistic scenario A$0.4250. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cavalier Resources Ltd it is A$0.3400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.2300. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cavalier Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CVR trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2300, fair value A$0.3400, a gap of about +48% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CVR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.3400). For Cavalier Resources Ltd the two are A$0.1100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cavalier Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Cavalier Resources Ltd at about A$26.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2300; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.3400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CVR?
Our models span a range for Cavalier Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.2550, base A$0.3400, optimistic A$0.4250 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.2300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cavalier Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −13.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CVR from its 52-week high?
Cavalier Resources Ltd trades at A$0.2300, about 48% below its 52-week high of A$0.4400 and 18% above the low of A$0.1950 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.3400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cavalier Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cavalier Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.2300, calculated fair value A$0.3400 (+48%), Quality Score 40/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CVR calculated?
We run Cavalier Resources Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.3400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cavalier Resources Ltd currently trades 48 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.2300. Our model-based fair value is A$0.3400, about +48% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cavalier Resources Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.2550). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Cavalier Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
The market capitalisation of Cavalier Resources Ltd is A$26.4M (≈ $18.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
Earnings per share at Cavalier Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cavalier Resources Ltd is −13.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cavalier Resources Ltd is −11.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
The operating margin of Cavalier Resources Ltd is −4,894% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR)?
Revenue at Cavalier Resources Ltd is growing −74.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +281%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR) generate?
The free cash flow of Cavalier Resources Ltd is −A$1.4M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cavalier Resources Ltd (CVR) hold?
Cavalier Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$655K net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Cavalier Resources Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Cavalier Resources Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
