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HAL Trust (HALFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of HAL Trust $259, price $188, upside +37.5%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · US · ISIN BMG455841020

HT HAL Trust logo Broad data Oct 3, 2026

HAL Trust

HALFF · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value $258.83 · Undervalued (+37.5%)
✓Quality 62/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +19.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.9% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 52/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$202.30 $83.13 Fair Value $258.83 Jun 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $83.13 – $202.30 · fair‑value band $194.13 – $323.54 · the $188.23 price screens below the $258.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

HAL Trust, together with its subsidiaries, operates through multi-sectors in Asia, the Middle East, the Netherlands, the United States, Canada, and internationally.

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HAL Trust, together with its subsidiaries, operates through multi-sectors in Asia, the Middle East, the Netherlands, the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company offers maritime services; emergency response and salvage-related services; medical aid products and services; furniture and fit-out services; a financial newspaper under the Het Financieele Dagblad; a radio station under the BNR Nieuwsradio; information and data services under the Company.info and Investment & Pensions Europe; and processing, software, and payment solutions for the healthcare sector. It also provides hearing aids; consumer electronics and domestic appliances; energy services under the Coolblue Energy brand; storage and infrastructure solutions; and prescription frames, outdoor eyewear, goggles, and helmets. In addition, the company is involved in the residential construction, utility construction, project development, and renovation activities; manufacturing, fabricating, and selling composite panels and related products under the FENIX brand; and production of composite panels for interior applications, facade cladding and laboratory furniture, interior doors, kitchen worktops, solid surface material, and coated plywood panels. Further, it engages in the supply of timber products and building materials; temporary and permanent technical personnel under the Atlas NextWave brand; solutions and specialized equipment for installation and foundation projects in the offshore wind and renewables, decommissioning, oil and gas, and coastal and civil markets; and transportation of liquefied gases. Additionally, the company engages in the greenhouse construction sector; optical retail; designs, builds, installs, and operates offshore floating facilities; production of ultra-pure silicon wafers; development and rental of apartments; and development and sale of townhomes. HAL Trust was founded in 1873 and is based in Rotterdam, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

HAL Trust, (HALFF) currently trades at $188.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $258.83, implying the stock looks roughly 27.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $362.59 per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the $188.23 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $51.59, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $194.13 (bear) to $323.54 (bull), the price of $188.23 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

HAL Trust, reported revenue of €12.8B in FY2025 versus €7.3B in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was €1.6B in FY2025, compounding −21.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $17.0B · P/E ratio 9.2 · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) $20.51 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 12.5% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 38%, HALFF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $194.13 Fair Value $258.83 Bull $323.54
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($12.86 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $261.91 $387.02 $569.52 78
Residual Income $173.02 $192.41 $253.51 76
Owner Earnings $257.39 $400.15 $623.41 75
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $257.39 $400.15 $623.41 75
5Y P/E Exit $215.93 $330.06 $450.65 71
10Y P/E Exit $229.04 $332.33 $460.39 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $135.39 $459.05 $615.51 64
Lynch FV $105.09 $150.12 $195.16 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $29.98 $62.34 $98.89 66
DDM Multi-Stage $29.98 $51.59 $65.43 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $194.13 $258.83 $323.54 63
P/B Multiple $204.60 $272.80 $341.01 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $97.43 $130.56 $194.86 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $261.91 $387.02 $569.52 78
Rev-Margin DCF $233.03 $362.59 $515.17 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $173.02 $192.41 $253.51 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.1% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +18.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.19.0% vs 9.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 14%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 58% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.5% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside +42.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11.2% · Above median
Return on assets 5.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 14.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.09× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 11.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $112.09 $52.29 −53%
KKR & Co KKR $93.18 $29.26 −69%
Brookfield Corporation BN $36.87 $13.45 −64%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $116.06 $197.23 +70%
State Street Corporation STT $177.78 $139.37 −22%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $494.82 $595.40 +20%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $122.01 $103.68 −15%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $175.73 $123.42 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $161.16 $317.27 +97%
Exor N.V EXO €68.10 €136.20 +100%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HAL Trust, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HALFF

Frequently asked questions

Is HAL Trust (HALFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $258.83 versus a price of $188.23, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HALFF?
Our model-based fair value for HAL Trust, is $258.83 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $188.23.
What is the quality score of HALFF?
HAL Trust, has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HAL Trust (HALFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $258.83 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $194.13, optimistic scenario $323.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HAL Trust, stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $258.83, about +38% upside versus a price of $188.23 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $194.13, optimistic scenario $323.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
HAL Trust, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €13.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does HAL Trust, pay a dividend?
HAL Trust, currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.86% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into HAL Trust (HALFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HAL Trust, would have to grow free cash flow by -7.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.2 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HALFF use?
Our models discount HAL Trust, at 8.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HAL Trust, that is -7.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HAL Trust (HALFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HAL Trust, grew +19.2 % a year. The price currently implies -7.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HAL Trust (HALFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HAL Trust, (-7.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.87 %: that much free cash flow HAL Trust, produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HAL Trust, it is $258.83 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $188.23. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HAL Trust, stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, HALFF trades below its calculated fair value: price $188.23, fair value $258.83, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HALFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($188.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($258.83). For HAL Trust, the two are $70.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HAL Trust, worth?
The market values HAL Trust, at about $17.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $188.23; our models calculate a fair value of $258.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HALFF?
Our models span a range for HAL Trust,: cautious scenario $194.13, base $258.83, optimistic $323.54 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $188.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HALFF?
HAL Trust, trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $258.83 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for HAL Trust, (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 11.2%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HALFF from its 52-week high?
HAL Trust, trades at $188.23, about 7% below its 52-week high of $202.30 and 23% above the low of $152.64 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $258.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HAL Trust,?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HAL Trust, stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $188.23, calculated fair value $258.83 (+38%), Quality Score 62/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HALFF calculated?
We run HAL Trust, through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $258.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. HAL Trust, currently trades 27 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $188.23. Our model-based fair value is $258.83, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HAL Trust, right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($194.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of HAL Trust (HALFF) come from?
Earnings per share at HAL Trust, grew +6.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.4 %, EBIT margin −2.6 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of HAL Trust,

How large is the market capitalisation of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
The market capitalisation of HAL Trust, is $17.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HAL Trust, is 1.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
Earnings per share at HAL Trust, are $20.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
The dividend yield of HAL Trust, is 1.9% (payout 17.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
The net margin of HAL Trust, is 12.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HAL Trust, is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HAL Trust, is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HAL Trust (HALFF)?
The operating margin of HAL Trust, is 14.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HAL Trust (HALFF)?
Revenue at HAL Trust, is growing −4.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HAL Trust (HALFF)?
Earnings per share at HAL Trust, are growing −18.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does HAL Trust (HALFF) carry?
The net debt of HAL Trust, is €455M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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