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Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hammond Manufacturing Company $18.98, price $19.10, upside -0.6%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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HM
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Hammond Manufacturing Company
HMFAF · USNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $18.98 · Fairly valued (−0.6%)
✓Quality 61/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 46/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8844 – $20.73 · fair‑value band $14.24 – $23.73 · the $19.10 price screens above the $18.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Hammond Manufacturing Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells electrical and electronic components in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia.
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Hammond Manufacturing Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells electrical and electronic components in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia. The company offers electrical enclosures cabinets, including mild and stainless steel, aluminum, non-metallic, disconnect, modular freestanding, operator interface, and commercial enclosures, as well as wireway and trough, climate control, data communication infrastructure products, and general accessories; and small enclosures, such as diecast, plastic, extruded, industrial, and rack mounted enclosures, as well as general-purpose metal, chassis, and handles and accessories. It also provides rack mounting solutions comprising wall mount racks and cabinets, open frame network racks, server cabinet racks, and rack accessories; basic PDUs for racks and cabinets, industrial power strips, and related accessories; and transformers, which include power, line, audio, energy limiting, and instrument transformers, as well as chokes and reactors and guitar replacements. In addition, the company offers various standard products; product customization services; and technical support. It sells its products to electrical, electronic, and datacom original equipment manufacturers/MROs, as well as utilities and institutions through a network of agents and distributors. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Guelph, Canada.
Stock analysis
Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF) currently trades at $19.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.98, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $22.97 per share, and 14 of the 26 models we run sit above the $19.10 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.46, and 12 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $14.24 (bear) to $23.73 (bull), the price of $19.10 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hammond Manufacturing Company reported revenue of C$281M in FY2025 versus C$190M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$14.4M in FY2025, compounding +16.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $216M · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 0.63 · EPS (TTM) $0.9500 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 174% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −1%, HMFAF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $14.24
Fair Value $18.98
Bull $23.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7184 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$14.99
$22.97
$34.56
78
Growth DCF
$14.72
$21.55
$30.73
77
Owner Earnings
$14.97
$22.95
$34.52
75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$14.99
$22.97
$34.56
78
Owner Earnings
$14.97
$22.95
$34.52
75
5Y Revenue Exit
$14.43
$23.21
$35.05
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$18.02
$30.66
$46.54
73
5Y P/E Exit
$14.73
$23.84
$34.20
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$14.12
$21.77
$33.31
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$16.48
$26.45
$41.57
66
10Y P/E Exit
$14.61
$22.16
$32.70
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$6.07
$28.83
$39.66
61
Lynch FV
$7.66
$10.95
$14.23
58
PEG = 1.0
$7.66
$10.95
$14.23
55
EPV
$10.73
$11.80
$12.66
72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.2900
$0.4900
$0.6400
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.2900
$0.4700
$0.5300
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$14.05
$18.74
$23.42
61
P/S Multiple
$11.38
$15.17
$18.96
56
P/B Multiple
$11.38
$15.17
$18.96
53
EV/EBIT
$19.48
$25.36
$31.24
65
EV/EBITDA
$21.99
$28.71
$35.43
66
EV/Revenue
$14.43
$19.82
$25.22
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$4.08
$5.46
$8.15
52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$14.72
$21.55
$30.73
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$14.43
$23.05
$34.26
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$6.61
$7.07
$8.25
75
ROIC Compounder
$11.45
$13.74
$16.46
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$12.05
$17.22
$22.38
66
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
61/100
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88
Profitability
57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.4% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 540 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 79.62 | CHF 30.01 | −62% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA | 263.00 THB | 38.64 THB | −85% |
| Vertiv Holdings VRT | $244.04 | $178.68 | −27% |
| Prysmian S.p.A PRY | €129.80 | €75.63 | −42% |
| Legrand SA LR | €144.55 | €82.77 | −43% |
| nVent Electric plc NVT | $164.41 | $43.51 | −74% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥84.21 | ¥185.48 | +120% |
| Hubbell Incorporated HUBB | $465.72 | $293.28 | −37% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 205,500 KRW | 29,518 KRW | −86% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.98 versus a price of $19.10, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HMFAF?
Our model-based fair value for Hammond Manufacturing Company is $18.98 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.10.
What is the quality score of HMFAF?
Hammond Manufacturing Company has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $18.98 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.24, optimistic scenario $23.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hammond Manufacturing Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $18.98, about −1% upside versus a price of $19.10 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $14.24, optimistic scenario $23.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
Hammond Manufacturing Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$289M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hammond Manufacturing Company pay a dividend?
Hammond Manufacturing Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hammond Manufacturing Company would have to grow free cash flow by +8.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HMFAF use?
Our models discount Hammond Manufacturing Company at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hammond Manufacturing Company that is +8.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hammond Manufacturing Company grew +13.7 % a year. The price currently implies +8.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hammond Manufacturing Company (+8.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.38 %: that much free cash flow Hammond Manufacturing Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hammond Manufacturing Company it is $18.98 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $19.10. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hammond Manufacturing Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HMFAF trades above its calculated fair value: price $19.10, fair value $18.98, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HMFAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($18.98). For Hammond Manufacturing Company the two are $0.1200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hammond Manufacturing Company worth?
The market values Hammond Manufacturing Company at about $216M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $19.10; our models calculate a fair value of $18.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HMFAF?
Our models span a range for Hammond Manufacturing Company: cautious scenario $14.24, base $18.98, optimistic $23.73 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $19.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HMFAF?
Hammond Manufacturing Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $18.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hammond Manufacturing Company (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.5%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HMFAF from its 52-week high?
Hammond Manufacturing Company trades at $19.10, about 8% below its 52-week high of $20.73 and 174% above the low of $6.97 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $18.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hammond Manufacturing Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hammond Manufacturing Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $19.10, calculated fair value $18.98 (−1%), Quality Score 61/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HMFAF calculated?
We run Hammond Manufacturing Company through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $18.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hammond Manufacturing Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $19.10. Our model-based fair value is $18.98, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hammond Manufacturing Company right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Hammond Manufacturing Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
The market capitalisation of Hammond Manufacturing Company is $216M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hammond Manufacturing Company is 0.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
Earnings per share at Hammond Manufacturing Company are $0.9500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
The dividend yield of Hammond Manufacturing Company is 0.5% (payout 10.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
The net margin of Hammond Manufacturing Company is 5.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hammond Manufacturing Company is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hammond Manufacturing Company is 11.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
The operating margin of Hammond Manufacturing Company is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
Revenue at Hammond Manufacturing Company is growing +12.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF)?
Earnings per share at Hammond Manufacturing Company are growing +12.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hammond Manufacturing Company (HMFAF) carry?
The net debt of Hammond Manufacturing Company is C$2.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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