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OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of OC Oerlikon Corporation $3.26, price $6.90, upside -52.8%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN CH0000816824

OO OC Oerlikon Corporation logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

OC Oerlikon Corporation

OERLF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $3.26 · Strongly overvalued (−52.8%)
!Quality 40/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −4.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.9% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$10.78 $3.02 Fair Value $3.26 Aug 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.02 – $10.78 · fair‑value band $2.22 – $5.04 · the $6.90 price screens above the $3.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

OC Oerlikon Corporation AG provides surface engineering, polymer processing, and advanced manufacturing services in Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through The Oerlikon Division and The Barmag Division.

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OC Oerlikon Corporation AG provides surface engineering, polymer processing, and advanced manufacturing services in Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through The Oerlikon Division and The Barmag Division. It offers actuation systems, aircraft interior, cold plates, engine fan and compressors, engine hot section, heat exchanger, hydraulic systems, landing gears, RF components, and rocket engine components for aerospace sector. The company also provides brake and safety systems, drive train, engine systems, exhaust systems, exterior, green hydrogen, heat exchangers and EGR coolers, interior, lighting, peripherals and design parts, piping and tubing systems, steering and suspension, thermoelectrical isolation system, and transmissions for automotive sector. In addition, it offers boiler, gas turbines, hydro turbines, green hydrogen, oil and gas, steam turbines, and wind turbines for energy sector; cutting, die casting, metal forming, and plastic processing for tooling industry; and artificial joints, dental implants/abutments, medical, minimally invasive surgical instruments, spine implants, surgical instruments, and veterinary implants for medical sector. Further, the company provides various products for agriculture, beauty and personal care, consumer goods, electronics, engineering, food and packaging, logistic and environmental, metal forming and processing, mining and heavy machinery, pulp, paper and printing, and semiconductor applications; and Luxury and semiconductor products. It offers its surface solutions under Oerlikon Balzers, Oerlikon Metco, Oerlikon AM, Oerlikon Riri, and Oerlikon Fineparts brand names; and provides friction systems, turbine components, and thermoelectrical insulation systems, as well as coating equipment and components. OC Oerlikon Corporation AG was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in the Pfäffikon, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF) currently trades at $6.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.26, 52.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $7.52 per share, and 1 of the 10 models we run sit above the $6.90 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.7900, and 9 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.22 (bear) to $5.04 (bull), the price of $6.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

OC Oerlikon Corporation reported revenue of CHF 1.6B in FY2025 versus CHF 2.6B in FY2021, a compound −12.3%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 19.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.3B · P/S ratio 0.92 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2000 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity −4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% · Operating margin 3.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −53%, OERLF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.22 Fair Value $3.26 Bull $5.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.16 $3.30 $5.22 79
Growth DCF $2.28 $3.36 $5.04 78
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.34 $5.85 $9.18 73
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.16 $3.30 $5.22 79
Owner Earnings $0.3900 $0.9900 $2.01 71
5Y Revenue Exit $0.3600 $0.6900 $1.18 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.34 $5.85 $9.18 73
10Y Revenue Exit $1.12 $1.43 $1.71 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.79 $4.34 $6.00 68
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $5.24 $7.52 $9.81 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.72 $2.30 $3.44 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.28 $3.36 $5.04 78
Rev-Margin DCF $0.3600 $0.7900 $1.39 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.5% (2020) → 1.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CHF, Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.1% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−1.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.5%

OERLF screens overvalued: fair value 53% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −4.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.72× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.55× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.11× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.49 $142.61 −85%
SIE SIE €271.90 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $433.27 $173.12 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $970.37 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.10 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $257.28 $153.33 −40%
Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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OC Oerlikon Corporation · Fair Value
$3.26 −53%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OC Oerlikon Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OERLF

Frequently asked questions

Is OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.26 versus a price of $6.90, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OERLF?
Our model-based fair value for OC Oerlikon Corporation is $3.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.90.
What is the quality score of OERLF?
OC Oerlikon Corporation has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.22, optimistic scenario $5.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OC Oerlikon Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.26, about −53% upside versus a price of $6.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.22, optimistic scenario $5.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
OC Oerlikon Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does OC Oerlikon Corporation pay a dividend?
OC Oerlikon Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OC Oerlikon Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +21.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OERLF use?
Our models discount OC Oerlikon Corporation at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OC Oerlikon Corporation that is +21.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OC Oerlikon Corporation grew -7.0 % a year. The price currently implies +21.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OC Oerlikon Corporation (+21.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.57 %: that much free cash flow OC Oerlikon Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OC Oerlikon Corporation it is $3.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $6.90. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OC Oerlikon Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, OERLF trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.90, fair value $3.26, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OERLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.26). For OC Oerlikon Corporation the two are $3.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OC Oerlikon Corporation worth?
The market values OC Oerlikon Corporation at about $2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $6.90; our models calculate a fair value of $3.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OERLF?
Our models span a range for OC Oerlikon Corporation: cautious scenario $2.22, base $3.26, optimistic $5.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $6.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of OERLF?
The PEG ratio of OC Oerlikon Corporation is 1.11 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
Balance-sheet figures for OC Oerlikon Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.9%, debt of 0.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to OC Oerlikon Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OC Oerlikon Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $6.90, calculated fair value $3.26 (−53%), Quality Score 40/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OERLF calculated?
We run OC Oerlikon Corporation through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. OC Oerlikon Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $6.90. Our model-based fair value is $3.26, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OC Oerlikon Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($2.22 to $5.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of OC Oerlikon Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
The market capitalisation of OC Oerlikon Corporation is $2.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OC Oerlikon Corporation is 0.92 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corporation are $−0.2000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
The dividend yield of OC Oerlikon Corporation is 2.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
The net margin of OC Oerlikon Corporation is −1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OC Oerlikon Corporation is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OC Oerlikon Corporation is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
The operating margin of OC Oerlikon Corporation is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
Revenue at OC Oerlikon Corporation is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF)?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corporation are growing −60.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does OC Oerlikon Corporation (OERLF) carry?
The net debt of OC Oerlikon Corporation is CHF 1.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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