Payton -L (PAYT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Payton -L ILS 38.26, price ILS 51.00, upside -25.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 33.17 ILA – 94.11 ILA · fair‑value band 31.13 ILA – 46.13 ILA · the 51.00 ILA price screens above the 38.26 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Payton Industries Ltd engages in the development, production, and marketing of transformers in Israel, Asia, Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company offers planar transformers, planar inductors, and off-the-shelf transformers. It serves automotive, aerospace, medical, telecom, industrial, and defense markets.
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Payton Industries Ltd engages in the development, production, and marketing of transformers in Israel, Asia, Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company offers planar transformers, planar inductors, and off-the-shelf transformers. It serves automotive, aerospace, medical, telecom, industrial, and defense markets. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Ness Ziona, Israel.
Stock analysis
Payton -L (PAYT) currently trades at 51.00 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 38.26 ILA, 25.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 67.50 ILA per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the 51.00 ILA price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 10.29 ILA, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 31.13 ILA (bear) to 46.13 ILA (bull), the price of 51.00 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Payton -L reported revenue of $47.8M in FY2025 versus $44.0M in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was $10.8M in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 422M ILA · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 3.68 · EPS (TTM) 3.14 ILA · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 22.7% · Return on equity 10.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −25%, PAYT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 31.13 ILAFair Value 38.26 ILABull 46.13 ILA
Price 51.00 ILA · Upside -25.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.08 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.7% vs 15.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 549 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−25.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.1% · Above median
Return on assets5.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)25.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)6.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)16.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)4.10× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF12.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA18.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 57
PAST (return on equity)40· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)16· sector 22
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Payton -L Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAYT
Frequently asked questions
Is Payton -L (PAYT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 38.26 ILA versus a price of 51.00 ILA, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PAYT?
Our model-based fair value for Payton -L is 38.26 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 51.00 ILA.
What is the quality score of PAYT?
Payton -L has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Payton -L (PAYT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 38.26 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 31.13 ILA, optimistic scenario 46.13 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Payton -L stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 38.26 ILA, about −25% upside versus a price of 51.00 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 31.13 ILA, optimistic scenario 46.13 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Payton -L (PAYT)?
Payton -L reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $45.3M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Payton -L pay a dividend?
Payton -L currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.78% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Payton -L (PAYT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Payton -L would have to grow free cash flow by -9.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.7 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PAYT use?
Our models discount Payton -L at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.52, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Payton -L that is -9.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Payton -L (PAYT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Payton -L grew +1.7 % a year. The price currently implies -9.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Payton -L (PAYT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Payton -L (-9.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Payton -L (PAYT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.08 %: that much free cash flow Payton -L produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Payton -L (PAYT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Payton -L it is 38.26 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 51.00 ILA. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Payton -L stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, PAYT trades above its calculated fair value: price 51.00 ILA, fair value 38.26 ILA, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PAYT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (51.00 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (38.26 ILA). For Payton -L the two are 12.74 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Payton -L worth?
The market values Payton -L at about 422M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 51.00 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 38.26 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PAYT?
Our models span a range for Payton -L: cautious scenario 31.13 ILA, base 38.26 ILA, optimistic 46.13 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 51.00 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PAYT?
Payton -L trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 38.26 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 18.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Payton -L (PAYT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Payton -L (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 10.1%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PAYT from its 52-week high?
Payton -L trades at 51.00 ILA, about 46% below its 52-week high of 94.11 ILA and 5% above the low of 48.80 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 38.26 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Payton -L?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Payton -L stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 51.00 ILA, calculated fair value 38.26 ILA (−25%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PAYT calculated?
We run Payton -L through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 38.26 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Payton -L itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Payton -L (PAYT)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 51.00 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 38.26 ILA, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Payton -L right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (46.13 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Payton -L (PAYT) come from?
Earnings per share at Payton -L grew +17.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.3 %, EBIT margin +7.4 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Payton -L
How large is the market capitalisation of Payton -L (PAYT)?
The market capitalisation of Payton -L is 422M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Payton -L (PAYT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Payton -L is 3.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Payton -L (PAYT)?
Earnings per share at Payton -L are 3.14 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Payton -L (PAYT)?
The dividend yield of Payton -L is 0.8% (payout 12.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Payton -L (PAYT)?
The net margin of Payton -L is 22.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Payton -L (PAYT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Payton -L is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Payton -L (PAYT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Payton -L is 15.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Payton -L (PAYT)?
The operating margin of Payton -L is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Payton -L (PAYT)?
Revenue at Payton -L is growing −13.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Payton -L (PAYT)?
Earnings per share at Payton -L are growing −47.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Payton -L (PAYT) hold?
Payton -L holds more cash than debt, $30.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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