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Powercell Sweden (PCELL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Powercell Sweden SEK 3.93, price SEK 19.72, upside -80.1%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · SE · ISIN SE0006425815

PS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Powercell Sweden

PCELL · ST

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value kr 3.93 · Strongly overvalued (−80.1%)
!Quality 48/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +30.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -15.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

kr 248.70 kr 15.45 Fair Value kr 3.93 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 15.45 – kr 248.70 · fair‑value band kr 2.59 – kr 4.91 · the kr 19.72 price screens above the kr 3.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PowerCell Sweden AB (publ) develops and produces fuel cells and fuel cell systems for automotive, marine, and stationary applications in Sweden and internationally. It offers hydrogen fuel cell for Aviation; off-road heavy duty hydrogen electric solutions; on-road power generation for on-road vehicles; and zero-emission power generation solutions.

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PowerCell Sweden AB (publ) develops and produces fuel cells and fuel cell systems for automotive, marine, and stationary applications in Sweden and internationally. It offers hydrogen fuel cell for Aviation; off-road heavy duty hydrogen electric solutions; on-road power generation for on-road vehicles; and zero-emission power generation solutions. The company also provides hydrogen fuel cell technology for extracting power from e-fuels; renewable fuels, such as compressed and liquid hydrogen, renewable methanol, and renewable ammonia for fuel cells; and hydrogen fuel cell stacks. In addition, it offers integration, installation, and engineering services. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Gothenburg, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Powercell Sweden (PCELL) currently trades at kr 19.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 3.93, 80.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 2.59 (bear) to kr 4.91 (bull), the price of kr 19.72 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Powercell Sweden reported revenue of 385M SEK in FY2025 versus 160M SEK in FY2021, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was −29.5M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.4B SEK (≈ $136M) · P/S ratio 3.81 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.9300 · Net margin −7.7% · Return on equity −14.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −14.0% · Operating margin −77.6% · Revenue (TTM) 358M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −80%, PCELL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 2.59 Fair Value kr 3.93 Bull kr 4.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 3.32 kr 4.45 kr 6.65 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 3.32 kr 4.45 kr 6.65 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +54.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+60.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−90.9% (2020) → −15.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PCELL screens overvalued: fair value 80% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 532 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −80.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −15.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −77.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −36.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 57
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 ¥291.11 ¥695.24 +139%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 79.62 CHF 30.01 −62%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 263.00 THB 38.64 THB −85%
Vertiv Holdings VRT $244.04 $178.68 −27%
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €129.80 €75.63 −42%
Legrand SA LR €144.55 €82.77 −43%
nVent Electric plc NVT $164.41 $43.51 −74%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥84.21 ¥185.48 +120%
Hubbell Incorporated HUBB $465.72 $293.28 −37%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 205,500 KRW 29,518 KRW −86%

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Powercell Sweden · Fair Value
kr 3.93 −80%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Powercell Sweden Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PCELL

Frequently asked questions

Is Powercell Sweden (PCELL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 3.93 versus a price of kr 19.72, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PCELL?
Our model-based fair value for Powercell Sweden is kr 3.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 19.72.
What is the quality score of PCELL?
Powercell Sweden has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 3.93 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 2.59, optimistic scenario kr 4.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Powercell Sweden stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 3.93, about −80% upside versus a price of kr 19.72 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 2.59, optimistic scenario kr 4.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
Powercell Sweden reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 358M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Powercell Sweden it is kr 3.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 19.72. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Powercell Sweden stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PCELL trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 19.72, fair value kr 3.93, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PCELL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 19.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 3.93). For Powercell Sweden the two are kr 15.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Powercell Sweden worth?
The market values Powercell Sweden at about 1.4B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 19.72; our models calculate a fair value of kr 3.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PCELL?
Our models span a range for Powercell Sweden: cautious scenario kr 2.59, base kr 3.93, optimistic kr 4.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 19.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Powercell Sweden (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −14.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PCELL from its 52-week high?
Powercell Sweden trades at kr 19.72, about 57% below its 52-week high of kr 46.34 and 28% above the low of kr 15.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 3.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Powercell Sweden?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Powercell Sweden stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 19.72, calculated fair value kr 3.93 (−80%), Quality Score 48/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PCELL calculated?
We run Powercell Sweden through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 3.93, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Powercell Sweden itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 19.72. Our model-based fair value is kr 3.93, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Powercell Sweden right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 4.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 2.59 to kr 4.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Powercell Sweden

How large is the market capitalisation of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
The market capitalisation of Powercell Sweden is 1.4B SEK (≈ $136M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Powercell Sweden is 3.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
Earnings per share at Powercell Sweden are kr −0.9300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
The net margin of Powercell Sweden is −7.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Powercell Sweden is −14.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Powercell Sweden is −14.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
The operating margin of Powercell Sweden is −77.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Powercell Sweden (PCELL)?
Revenue at Powercell Sweden is growing −36.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Powercell Sweden (PCELL) generate?
The free cash flow of Powercell Sweden is −38.0M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Powercell Sweden (PCELL) hold?
Powercell Sweden holds more cash than debt, 59.8M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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