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Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Saffron Industries Limited ₹11.48, price ₹23.12, upside -50.4%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Materials · IN · ISIN INE474D01013

SI Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Saffron Industries Limited

SAFFRON · BSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ₹11.48 · Strongly overvalued (−50.4%)

✓Quality 64/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −16.8 %/yr)

✓Highly profitable · 22.9% net margin (TTM)

✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (6/10)

✓Wide moat 86/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear ₹10.00 to bull ₹15.82 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 64/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1.53 – ₹99.18 · fair‑value band ₹10.00 – ₹15.82 · the ₹23.12 price screens above the ₹11.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Stock analysis

Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON) currently trades at ₹23.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹11.48, 50.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹28.43 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹23.12 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ₹8.16, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹10.00 (bear) to ₹15.82 (bull), the price of ₹23.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Saffron Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹68.6M in FY2025 versus ₹179M in FY2021, a compound −21.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹15.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap ₹203M (≈ $2.1M) · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 2.42 · EPS (TTM) ₹2.19 · Net margin 22.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% · Operating margin 34.4% · Revenue (TTM) ₹68.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −50%, SAFFRON screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹10.00 Fair Value ₹11.48 Bull ₹15.82

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.66 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF n/a n/a ₹0.5800 77

Growth DCF n/a n/a ₹0.5300 75

5Y EBITDA Exit ₹6.58 ₹12.47 ₹20.27 73

All 18 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF n/a n/a ₹0.5800 77

5Y Revenue Exit ₹4.09 ₹8.16 ₹14.11 70

5Y EBITDA Exit ₹6.58 ₹12.47 ₹20.27 73

5Y P/E Exit ₹12.93 ₹23.46 ₹35.97 69

10Y Revenue Exit ₹1.89 ₹4.69 ₹7.82 64

10Y EBITDA Exit ₹3.61 ₹7.29 ₹11.35 66

10Y P/E Exit ₹7.38 ₹13.94 ₹20.36 63

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ₹14.90 ₹18.21 ₹20.48 67

EPV ₹12.77 ₹15.09 ₹17.09 71

Multiples

P/E Multiple ₹27.93 ₹37.24 ₹46.55 63

P/S Multiple ₹10.75 ₹14.33 ₹17.91 58

EV/EBIT ₹19.56 ₹26.72 ₹33.88 66

EV/EBITDA ₹13.65 ₹18.85 ₹24.04 67

EV/Revenue ₹8.10 ₹12.40 ₹16.70 53

Growth DCF

Growth DCF n/a n/a ₹0.5300 75

Rev-Margin DCF ₹4.09 ₹8.19 ₹13.09 70

Economic Profit

ROIC Compounder ₹12.77 ₹15.09 ₹17.09 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ₹19.90 ₹28.43 ₹36.95 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 70

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 46

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 35

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 39

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 88

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 35

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 9

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 2

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

+8.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−26.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−16.8%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−16.0%

’16

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’23

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’25

Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−11.6% (2020) → 21.4% (2025)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price

The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+63.1%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +56.6% a year for the price.

SAFFRON screens overvalued: fair value 50% below the price. Compare with NATHIND →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Paper Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Materials · 3434 stocks

Beats the sector median on 6/10 measures

Overall it ranks above its sector peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −50.3% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Return on assets 7.5% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 22.9% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 34.4% · Top 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −59.5% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheapest 25%

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

P/S (TTM) 2.96× · Priciest 25%

P/FCF 210.5× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
NATHIND NATHIND	₹50.59	₹61.65	+22%
GANGAPA GANGAPA	₹86.83	₹25.19	−71%
MOHITPPR MOHITPPR	₹25.67	₹70.35	+174%
CELLA CELLA	₹43.87	₹17.27	−61%
KAYPOWR KAYPOWR	₹9.46	₹3.75	−60%
SANPA SANPA	₹192.00	₹234.99	+22%
AKTR AKTR	€9.99	€1.50	−85%
DAIOS DAIOS	€7.40	€8.30	+12%
TGVSL TGVSL	₹124.55	₹131.38	+5%
TUTIALKA TUTIALKA	₹55.07	₹44.52	−19%

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Saffron Industries Limited · Fair Value
₹11.48 −50%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAFFRON" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Saffron Industries Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">₹11.48</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−50%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saffron Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAFFRON

Frequently asked questions

Is Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹11.48 versus a price of ₹23.12, about −50% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of SAFFRON?

Our model-based fair value for Saffron Industries Limited is ₹11.48 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹23.12.

What is the quality score of SAFFRON?

Saffron Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹11.48 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹10.00, optimistic scenario ₹15.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Saffron Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ₹11.48, about −50% upside versus a price of ₹23.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹10.00, optimistic scenario ₹15.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

Saffron Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹68.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What growth is priced into Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Saffron Industries Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +63.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -16.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SAFFRON use?

Our models discount Saffron Industries Limited at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.90, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Saffron Industries Limited that is +63.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Saffron Industries Limited grew -16.8 % a year. The price currently implies +63.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

What is the free cash flow yield of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.58 %: that much free cash flow Saffron Industries Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Saffron Industries Limited it is ₹11.48 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹23.12. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Saffron Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, SAFFRON trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹23.12, fair value ₹11.48, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of SAFFRON?

No. The price is what the market pays today (₹23.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹11.48). For Saffron Industries Limited the two are ₹11.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Saffron Industries Limited worth?

The market values Saffron Industries Limited at about ₹203M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹23.12; our models calculate a fair value of ₹11.48 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAFFRON?

Our models span a range for Saffron Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹10.00, base ₹11.48, optimistic ₹15.82 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹23.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of SAFFRON?

Saffron Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹11.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 5.8.

How solid is the balance sheet of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

Balance-sheet figures for Saffron Industries Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is SAFFRON from its 52-week high?

Saffron Industries Limited trades at ₹23.12, about 77% below its 52-week high of ₹99.18 and at the low of ₹23.12 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹11.48 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Saffron Industries Limited?

From the same area (Materials) we also value NATHIND, GANGAPA, MOHITPPR, CELLA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Saffron Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹23.12, calculated fair value ₹11.48 (−50%), Quality Score 64/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of SAFFRON calculated?

We run Saffron Industries Limited through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹11.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Saffron Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹23.12. Our model-based fair value is ₹11.48, about −50% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Saffron Industries Limited right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹15.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Saffron Industries Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

The market capitalisation of Saffron Industries Limited is ₹203M (≈ $2.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Saffron Industries Limited is 2.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

Earnings per share at Saffron Industries Limited are ₹2.19 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

The net margin of Saffron Industries Limited is 22.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Saffron Industries Limited is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

The operating margin of Saffron Industries Limited is 34.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

Revenue at Saffron Industries Limited is growing −59.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON)?

Earnings per share at Saffron Industries Limited are growing −70.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Saffron Industries Limited (SAFFRON) carry?

The net debt of Saffron Industries Limited is ₹13.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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