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Saga plc (SAGA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 782M GBX

SP Saga plc SAGA · LSE
Price£5.95
Fair Value£1.23
Upside-79.3%
Quality97/100
Evidence: High Range £0.9300 – £1.54

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +4.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

£6.27 £1.73 Fair Value £1.23 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range £1.73 – £6.27 · fair‑value band £0.9300 – £1.54 · the £5.95 price screens above the £1.23 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Saga plc (SAGA) currently trades at £5.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.23 — implying the stock looks roughly 79.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 97/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Saga plc generated revenue of £666M at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 15.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at £394M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 666M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.5%
Net margin 0.5%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow 101M GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 179.3
More key figures
Operating margin 19.3%
EPS (TTM) £0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -48.2%
Net debt 394M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Saga plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides package and cruise holidays, general insurance, and personal finance products and services in the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Travel, Insurance, and Other Businesses and Central Costs. The company offers travel, motor, home, private medical, and other insurance products. It also operates and delivers ocean and river cruise holidays, as well as package tour and other holiday products; and provides savings accounts, equity release, legal services, mortgages, investment products and services. In addition, the company is involved in mailing house; publishing and delivering content provision of insurance broking, repair of automotive vehicles, debt service, motor accident management, and printing and mailing services; Saga Money which offers personal finance products; and Saga Publishing business. The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Saga plc reported revenue of £660M in FY2026 versus £377M in FY2022, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was £13.8M in FY2026.

Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY22 £377M
FY23 £581M
FY24 £565M
FY25 £588M
FY26 £660M
Net income
FY22 −£28.0M
FY23 −£259M
FY24 −£113M
FY25 −£165M
FY26 £13.8M

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Similar stocks

6 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRK C$35.75 C$29.27 -18%
Allianz SE ALIZY $46.11 $51.39 +11%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURVY $36.15 $29.58 -18%
AXA SA AXAHY $48.48 $66.69 +38%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A ARZGY $24.04 $19.38 -19%
Sun Life Financial Inc SLF $77.55 $118.90 +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Saga plc (SAGA) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.23 versus a price of £5.95 — about −79% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SAGA?
Our 21-model fair value for Saga plc is £1.23 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £5.95.
What is the quality score of SAGA?
Saga plc has a Quality Score of 97/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Saga plc (SAGA)?
Saga plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £666M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAGA?
The net profit margin of Saga plc is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.