Serco Group (SRP) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GB · Market cap 2.5B GBX
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −14.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range £2.03 – £3.30 · fair‑value band £2.32 – £4.27 · the £2.31 price screens below the £3.12 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Serco Group (SRP) currently trades at £2.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.12 — implying the stock looks roughly 35.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Serco Group generated revenue of £4.9B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at £710M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Serco Group plc provides public services in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It offers service design and advisory, resourcing, programme management, systems integration, case management, engineering, and assets and facilities management services. The company also provides administrative and back office, asylum seeker accommodation or passenger transport services; and supports in the decarbonization journeys of customers. It serves the United Kingdom and Canadian governments, devolved authorities, and other public sector customers; and federal and civilian agencies, and various state and municipal governments in citizen services, defense, health and other facilities management, justice and immigration, and transport sectors. Serco Group plc was founded in 1929 and is based in Hook, the United Kingdom.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Serco Group reported revenue of £5.0B in FY2025 versus £4.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was £146M in FY2025, compounding −16.8%/yr from FY2021.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.