Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range ₹20.55 – ₹556.00 · fair‑value band ₹220.21 – ₹638.45 · the ₹556.00 price screens above the ₹293.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL) currently trades at ₹556.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹293.61, implying the stock looks roughly 89.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹756.92 per share, and 4 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹556.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹39.83, and 11 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹220.21 (bear) to ₹638.45 (bull), the price of ₹556.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Staples sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd reported revenue of ₹13.8B in FY2026 versus ₹6.1B in FY2022, a compound +22.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹382M in FY2026, compounding +28.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹12.3B (≈ $128M) · P/E ratio 32.2 · P/S ratio 0.89 · EPS (TTM) ₹17.27 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 33.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Staples peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −47%, SVRL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹220.21Fair Value ₹293.61Bull ₹638.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹7.80 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+96.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+38.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+38.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 5%
2026 sits 154% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Edible Oils” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Staples · 1785 stocks
Beats the sector median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−41% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)34% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth109% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.78× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Staples median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)32.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.45× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.52× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA14.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 15
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)61· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹293.61 versus a price of ₹556.00, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SVRL?
Our model-based fair value for Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is ₹293.61 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹556.00.
What is the quality score of SVRL?
Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹293.61 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹220.21, optimistic scenario ₹638.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹293.61, about −47% upside versus a price of ₹556.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹220.21, optimistic scenario ₹638.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹13.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd pay a dividend?
Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd it is ₹293.61 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹556.00. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SVRL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹556.00, fair value ₹293.61, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SVRL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹556.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹293.61). For Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd the two are ₹262.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd worth?
The market values Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd at about ₹12.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹556.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹293.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SVRL?
Our models span a range for Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd: cautious scenario ₹220.21, base ₹293.61, optimistic ₹638.45 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹556.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SVRL?
Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.2 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹293.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.5, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 14.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 33.7%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Staples) we also value SURJIND, SHRIGANG, PRIMIND, 500696, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹556.00, calculated fair value ₹293.61 (−47%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SVRL calculated?
We run Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹293.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ₹556.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹293.61, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹220.21 to ₹638.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
The market capitalisation of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is ₹12.3B (≈ $128M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is 0.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
Earnings per share at Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd are ₹17.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
The dividend yield of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is 0.2% (payout 5.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
The net margin of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is 2.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is 33.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is 13.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
The operating margin of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
Revenue at Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is growing +109% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL)?
Earnings per share at Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd are growing +119% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL) generate?
The free cash flow of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is −₹1.1B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd (SVRL) carry?
The net debt of Shri Venkatesh Refineries Ltd is ₹3.1B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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