VGCL (VGCL) Fair Value & Analysis

IN · Market cap ₹1.3B

V VGCL VGCL · BSE

Price₹54.90

Fair Value₹115.69

Upside+110.7%

Quality55/100

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Evidence: High Range ₹80.99 – ₹150.40

Fair value as of: Jul 6, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price +13.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range ₹30.05 – ₹58.00 · fair‑value band ₹80.99 – ₹150.40 · the ₹54.90 price screens below the ₹115.69 fair value. As of Jul 6, 2026.

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Analysis

VGCL (VGCL) currently trades at ₹54.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹115.69 — implying the stock looks roughly 110.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality). Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, VGCL generated revenue of ₹1.8B at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue declined 45.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at ₹425M. Fundamentals as of Jul 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹80.99 (bear case) to ₹150.40 (bull case); at ₹54.90, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 95% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹1.8B

Revenue growth (YoY) -45.2%

Net margin 9.5%

Return on equity 11.0%

Free cash flow −₹201M FY2026

P/E ratio 7.1

More key figures

Operating margin 11.0%

EPS (TTM) ₹7.73

EPS growth (YoY) -65.3%

Net debt ₹425M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

VGCL reported revenue of ₹1.6B in FY2026 versus ₹2.4B in FY2022, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹175M in FY2026, compounding −21.6%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue −9.0%/yr

FY22 ₹2.4B

FY23 ₹1.8B

FY24 ₹2.2B

FY25 ₹2.6B

FY26 ₹1.6B

Net income −21.6%/yr

FY22 ₹463M

FY23 −₹78.0M

FY24 ₹477M

FY25 −₹4.7M

FY26 ₹175M

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VGCL · Fair Value
₹115.69 +111%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VGCL" target="_blank" rel="noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">VGCL · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">₹115.69</b> <span style="color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+111%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VGCL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VGCL

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Frequently asked questions

Is VGCL (VGCL) undervalued?

As of Jul 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹115.69 versus a price of ₹54.90 — about +111% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of VGCL?

Our model-based fair value for VGCL is ₹115.69 (as of Jul 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹54.90.

What is the quality score of VGCL?

VGCL has a Quality Score of 55/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of VGCL (VGCL)?

VGCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 6, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of VGCL?

The net profit margin of VGCL is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.