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Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc (XENE) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $5.1B

Price$54.61
Fair Value$27.08
Upside-50.4%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $20.31 – $33.85

Analysis

Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc (XENE) currently trades at $54.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.08 — implying the stock looks roughly 50.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc., a neuroscience-focused biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and delivery of therapeutics to treat patients with neurological and psychiatric disorders. Its product candidates include Azetukalner, a novel, potent Kv7 potassium channel opener which is in Phase 3 clinical development for the treatment of epilepsy, including focal onset seizures, and primary generalized tonic-clonic seizures, as well as neuropsychiatric disorders, such as major depressive disorder and bipolar depression. In addition, the company's Phase 1 Single Ascending Dose/Multiple Ascending Dose products include XEN1701 targeting the sodium channel and XEN1120 targeting the Kv7 potassium channel for the treatment of pain. The company has a license and collaboration agreement with Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. for the development of NBI-921355, a Nav1.2/1.6 sodium channel inhibitor that is in Phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of certain types of epileps…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.