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STOCK COMPARISON

American Express vs JPMorgan Chase: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how American Express (AXP) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM) compare, as of Oct 30, 2026.

As of Oct 30, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees American Express as the less overvalued of the two: American Express trades at $319 versus a fair value of $210 (−34.2%), while JPMorgan Chase trades at $337 versus $187 (−44.5%).
American Express
AXP · USD · Financials
−34.2%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$319
Fair Value$210
Quality69/100
Fair ValueQualityUptrend
JPMorgan Chase
JPM · USD · Financials
−44.5%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$337
Fair Value$187
Quality64/100
Fair ValueQualityUptrend
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

American ExpressJPMorgan Chase
Valuation
18.2×P/E (TTM)14.4×
15.8×Forward P/E (FY2027)13.2×
16.3×Median P/E at FY-end (10 FY, ex one-offs where documented)12.1×
3.01×P/S (TTM)5.03×
6.56×P/B2.65×
14.7×EV/EBITDA12.9×
1.27×PEG1.57×
−34.2%Fair value upside−44.5%
1.1%Dividend yield1.8%
$3.67Dividend per share$6.15
Profitability
18.4%Operating margin42.6%
1.53×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.94×
35.9%Return on equity18.0%
3.6%Return on assets1.3%
Growth
11.3%Revenue growth (YoY)10.2%
13.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)22.1%
16.0%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)16.6%
+10.1%Value creation/yr+14.4%
Balance & size
1.7×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)0.7×
1.69×Debt / equity1.20×
$219BMarket cap$960B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy
American Express, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 5 of the years ex one-offs: 16.3. JPMorgan Chase, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2020, FY2023 ex one-offs: 12.1.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

JPMorgan Chase leads: 6 to 9 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

American Express JPMorgan Chase
ProfitabilityHow much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
49
35
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns getting better?
50
44
CashflowDo the profits arrive as real cash?
82
96
Financial strengthDebt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
53
26
InvestmentDoes it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
65
77
Low VolatilityHow calm the share price moves, does not count
65
72
MomentumPrice trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
31
46
Near the 52-week highDistance to the 52-week high, does not count
27
58
New sharesBuys back shares or issues new ones?
100
90

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAmerican ExpressPrice $319JPMorgan ChasePrice $337
DCF Models+14.3%close to the price$365n/a
Earnings-Based−27.9%below the price$230n/a
Dividend Discount−81.5%below the price$59.10−66.1%below the price$114
Multiples−57.8%below the price$135−35.3%below the price$218
Asset-Based−91.1%below the price$28.49−77.7%below the price$75.18
Growth DCF+43.1%above the price$457n/a
Economic Profit−63.2%below the price$117−44.5%below the price$187
Matching families4 of 7
Minimum−91.1%below the price$28.49−77.7%below the price$75.18
Maximum−57.8%below the price$135−35.3%below the price$218
Median−72.3%below the price$88.27−55.3%below the price$151
Geometric mean−77.5%below the price$71.85−59.4%below the price$137
Ahead family by family0 of 44 of 4

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean only use the families both stocks have (matching families: 4 of 7), so a family without a value on one side does not distort the comparison. Ahead in a family is the stock whose fair value there sits higher relative to its price. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Family by family: JPMorgan Chase is ahead in 4 of 4 shared families, American Express in none.

American Express: 8 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.

JPMorgan Chase: 6 of 6 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

American Express
Price $319
Fair Value $210
Bear $158Bull $263
JPMorgan Chase
Price $337
Fair Value $187
Bear $144Bull $273

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

American Express · Financials

Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside−34.2% · bottom 25%

JPMorgan Chase · Financials

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside−44.5% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Oct 30, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees American Express as the less overvalued of the two: American Express trades at $319 versus a fair value of $210 (−34.2%), while JPMorgan Chase trades at $337 versus $187 (−44.5%).

American Express has the higher quality score (69/100).

Open American Express live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.